Deni Avdija's three-pointers made props show a clear over bias with a 54.8% hit rate (34-28-0) across 62 games. His 1.21 average significantly exceeds the typical 0.98 line, creating a +0.2 differential that translates to profitable over betting opportunities.
Expert Analysis
Deni Avdija has established himself as a reliable three-point contributor for Washington, with his actual production consistently outpacing market expectations. The 1.21 average against a 0.98 line represents a meaningful 23.5% edge that suggests books are systematically undervaluing his perimeter shooting. This isn't a fluke—Avdija's role expansion in Washington's offense has increased his three-point attempts and efficiency. The 54.8% over rate with a +4.7% ROI demonstrates sustainable profitability, while the sharp -13.8% under ROI confirms the market inefficiency. However, the current 4-game under streak represents his longest dry spell and could indicate temporary regression or defensive adjustments. The lack of split data limits our ability to identify optimal betting spots, but the overall trend remains compelling. Avdija's shooting consistency and increased usage in Washington's system support continued over performance, though the recent cold streak warrants caution about blindly betting overs without considering game-specific factors like matchup pace and defensive schemes.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The +0.2 differential between Avdija's 1.21 average and typical 0.98 lines creates a mathematical edge that has produced consistent profits. The 54.8% over rate across 62 games provides sufficient sample size for confidence, though the current 4-game under streak suggests temporary caution. Target overs when lines remain at 0.5 or 1.0, as Avdija's expanded role makes him a reliable three-point contributor.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Deni Avdija's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Deni Avdija's three-pointers made prop shows a 34-28-0 record across 62 games, hitting the over 54.8% of the time. This translates to a profitable +4.7% ROI when betting overs, while unders produce a sharp -13.8% loss.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Deni Avdija 3-Pointers Made all games?
Lean over on Deni Avdija's three-pointers made props. His 1.21 average significantly exceeds typical 0.98 lines, creating a mathematical edge that has produced consistent profits with a 54.8% over rate across a substantial 62-game sample.
What's Deni Avdija's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Deni Avdija averages 1.21 three-pointers made per game, which is 0.23 points above the typical 0.98 line. This +23.5% differential represents a significant edge that has translated to profitable over betting throughout the season.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Deni Avdija three-point overs when lines are set at 0.5 or 1.0, as his 1.21 average provides the best mathematical edge. Avoid during the current cold streak unless game conditions strongly favor increased three-point attempts.