DeMar DeRozan's blocks prop presents a rare betting certainty with unders hitting 65% of the time and a stunning 10-game under streak. The 0.5 blocks line perfectly matches his season average, but his role as a perimeter-focused guard makes blocks purely incidental. This is a high-conviction under play.
Expert Analysis
DeRozan's blocks under dominance stems from his fundamental role and physical limitations as a 6'6" shooting guard who operates primarily on the perimeter. Unlike versatile forwards who rotate into help defense, DeRozan's defensive responsibilities center on guarding wings and preventing penetration rather than rim protection. His 0.5 blocks per game average masks the reality that most games feature zero blocks, with occasional single-block performances inflating the mean. The current 10-game under streak isn't an aberration but rather the natural expression of his skill set and positioning. Sacramento's defensive scheme utilizes DeRozan as a perimeter defender alongside Domantas Sabonis and other interior presences who handle shot-blocking duties. The blocks DeRozan does record typically come from help-side rotations or steals that get classified as blocks, making them highly unpredictable and game-script dependent. His age and decreased lateral mobility further limit his ability to generate blocks through aggressive help defense. The 35% over rate reflects the occasional variance inherent in low-frequency events, but the sustained under streak demonstrates that 0.5 blocks represents DeRozan's ceiling rather than his floor in most game situations.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 10-game under streak and 65% historical under rate create compelling value, especially given DeRozan's perimeter-focused defensive role. The 0.5 line sits at his exact average, but blocks are binary events where most games feature zero. The main risk is regression to mean after such an extended streak, but DeRozan's defensive positioning and Sacramento's scheme support continued under performance.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 4.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is DeMar DeRozan's Blocks prop record all games?
DeRozan's blocks prop shows a 7-13-0 over/under record across 20 games, with unders hitting 65% of the time. He's currently riding a 10-game under streak while averaging exactly 0.5 blocks per game against the standard 0.5 line.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on DeMar DeRozan Blocks all games?
Lean under on DeRozan's blocks prop. The 65% under rate and active 10-game streak reflect his perimeter defensive role where blocks are incidental. Most games feature zero blocks despite the 0.5 average, making unders the higher-probability outcome.
What's DeMar DeRozan's average Blocks all games?
DeRozan averages exactly 0.5 blocks per game, matching the standard betting line perfectly. However, this average masks that most individual games feature zero blocks, with occasional single-block performances creating the 0.5 mean across the sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target DeRozan blocks unders when Sacramento faces teams with strong interior presence that limit his help-defense opportunities. Avoid betting after multiple consecutive unders due to potential regression, though his defensive role supports continued under performance.