Dejounte Murray's three-pointers made prop has been a consistent over performer, hitting at 61.3% with a 19-12 record across 31 games. His 2.48 average significantly exceeds the typical 2.21 line, generating +17.0% ROI. Despite a current 4-game under streak, the underlying data supports continued over betting.
Expert Analysis
Murray's transformation into a reliable three-point threat represents one of the season's most profitable prop trends. His 2.48 average against a 2.21 line creates a meaningful 0.27 edge that has persisted across 31 games, suggesting this isn't variance but genuine line inefficiency. The 61.3% over rate with +17.0% ROI indicates the market consistently undervalues Murray's three-point volume in New Orleans' pace-heavy system. The current 4-game under streak actually creates value, as it likely represents natural regression within a larger upward trend rather than a fundamental shift in usage. Murray's role as a primary perimeter option in the Pelicans' offense provides consistent shot opportunities, particularly when the team plays from behind or in high-scoring affairs. The lack of split data prevents deeper situational analysis, but the overall sample size of 31 games provides statistical significance. The key risk lies in potential lineup changes or injury concerns that could alter Murray's role, but his established usage pattern suggests the over trend should continue. Books appear slow to adjust lines despite the clear pattern, making this an ongoing edge play.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Murray's 2.48 average against typical 2.21 lines creates sustainable value, supported by 61.3% over rate and strong ROI. The current 4-game under streak likely represents regression within the larger upward trend rather than a fundamental change. Target overs when lines remain at 2.5 or below, especially in projected high-scoring games where Murray's volume increases.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 3.5 | 7.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dejounte Murray's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Murray's three-pointers made prop shows a strong 19-12 over record (61.3%) across 31 games this season. He's averaging 2.48 makes against typical lines of 2.21, creating consistent value for over bettors with +17.0% ROI.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dejounte Murray 3-Pointers Made all games?
Lean over on Murray's three-pointers made props. His 2.48 average significantly exceeds typical 2.21 lines, and the 61.3% over rate with positive ROI suggests sustainable edge. The current under streak creates additional value opportunity.
What's Dejounte Murray's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Murray averages 2.48 three-pointers made per game across 31 contests, compared to typical lines of 2.21. This 0.27 differential has created consistent value, with his actual production exceeding expectations in nearly two-thirds of games.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Murray three-point overs when lines remain at 2.5 or below, especially in projected high-scoring games. His volume increases in pace-up spots, and the current 4-game under streak provides enhanced value within the larger upward trend.