De'Anthony Melton's three-point props present a clear under opportunity with just 40% overs hitting over his last 10 games. The 76ers guard is averaging 2.2 threes against a 2.5 line, creating a -0.3 differential that has generated +14.6% ROI on unders.
Expert Analysis
Melton's three-point struggles stem from Philadelphia's evolving offensive hierarchy and his inconsistent role within it. The 2.2 average against a 2.5 line reveals books haven't fully adjusted to his reduced volume in recent weeks. His current five-game under streak isn't random variance—it reflects legitimate changes in shot selection and game flow. The 76ers' improved ball movement has distributed three-point attempts more evenly, reducing Melton's ceiling outcomes. His 40% over rate masks the severity of his recent shooting regression, particularly from catch-and-shoot situations where he's historically thrived. The -23.6% ROI on overs demonstrates how consistently he's falling short of expectations. While Melton remains capable of explosive shooting nights, his floor has dropped significantly. The trend shows persistence rather than due for regression, especially considering Philadelphia's recent emphasis on interior scoring. His role as a complementary shooter rather than a primary option limits his upside, making the under a sustainable play until books properly adjust the line downward.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Melton's 2.2 average creates clear line value at 2.5, supported by his current five-game under streak and Philadelphia's evolving offensive approach. The -0.3 differential provides consistent edge, though his shooting variance prevents high conviction. Target this under when the 76ers face elite perimeter defenses or in lower-paced matchups where possessions are limited.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-18 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-08 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is De'Anthony Melton's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Melton has hit the over just 4 times in 10 games (40% rate) with a 4-6-0 record. He's averaging 2.2 three-pointers made against a typical 2.5 line, creating a -0.3 differential that favors under bettors consistently.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on De'Anthony Melton 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Bet the under. Melton's 2.2 average vs 2.5 line provides clear value, supported by his current five-game under streak and +14.6% ROI on unders. His reduced role in Philadelphia's offense makes this sustainable until books adjust.
What's De'Anthony Melton's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Melton averages 2.2 three-pointers made over his last 10 games, sitting 0.3 below the standard 2.5 line. This differential has created profitable under opportunities, with the gap reflecting his decreased volume in recent weeks.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Melton three-point unders against elite perimeter defenses or in slower-paced games under 220 total points. His reduced ceiling in Philadelphia's current offensive scheme makes these conditions ideal for under success with limited variance risk.