Dean Wade's rebounds have hit the over in 6 of his last 10 games (60.0% rate) with a solid +14.6% ROI, though he's averaging 4.5 rebounds against a typical 4.7 line. The modest edge suggests value exists but requires careful line shopping and situational awareness.
Expert Analysis
Dean Wade's rebounding profile over this 10-game stretch reveals a player consistently exceeding diminished expectations. His 4.5 rebounds per game against the 4.7 line suggests books are pricing him accurately on average, but the 60% over rate indicates situational factors are creating value spots. Wade's role as Cleveland's versatile frontcourt piece means his rebounding opportunities fluctuate based on matchups and rotation minutes. The +14.6% ROI on overs demonstrates real profit potential, while the -23.6% loss on unders confirms the directional bias. His longest over streak of three games shows he can sustain elevated production when conditions align, likely correlating with increased minutes or favorable matchups against smaller lineups. The relatively short under streaks (maximum two games) suggest his floor remains stable. Wade's rebounding tends to spike when Cleveland faces pace-up situations or when injuries create additional frontcourt minutes. The sample size of 10 games provides meaningful insight without being overwhelming, and the consistency of hitting overs at a 60% clip indicates this isn't random variance but reflects either market mispricing or genuine positive regression in his role.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Wade's 60% over rate and positive ROI indicate consistent value, though the small average differential (-0.2) requires selective betting. Target games where he projects for 28+ minutes or Cleveland faces pace-up matchups. The main risk is his role volatility in Cleveland's deep frontcourt rotation, which can limit opportunities regardless of efficiency.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-14 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-12 | OPP | 4.5 | 9.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-26 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-24 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-11 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-07 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-05 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-03 | OPP | 5.5 | 3.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-23 | OPP | 5.5 | 7.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dean Wade's Rebounds prop record last 10 games?
Dean Wade has gone over his rebounds prop in 6 of his last 10 games (60.0% rate) with a 6-4-0 over/under record. This translates to a profitable +14.6% ROI when betting overs during this stretch.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dean Wade Rebounds last 10 games?
Lean toward betting over on Dean Wade's rebounds props. His 60% over rate and positive ROI indicate consistent value, but be selective and target games where he projects for increased minutes or favorable matchups.
What's Dean Wade's average Rebounds last 10 games?
Dean Wade is averaging 4.5 rebounds over his last 10 games, which is 0.2 rebounds below the typical 4.7 line. Despite this small deficit, he's still hitting overs 60% of the time, suggesting situational value exists.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Dean Wade rebounds overs when Cleveland faces pace-up matchups or when he's projected for 28+ minutes due to rotation changes. Avoid betting during back-to-backs or when Cleveland's frontcourt is fully healthy.