De'Aaron Fox has hit the over on his three-pointers made prop in 18 of 34 away games (52.9%), averaging 3.09 makes against a typical 2.41 line for a solid +0.68 differential. Despite a current 3-game under streak, the consistent volume advantage makes this a lean over situation.
Expert Analysis
Fox's away three-point production reveals a player whose shot volume consistently exceeds market expectations on the road. The +0.68 differential between his 3.09 average and the typical 2.41 line represents genuine value, particularly given the 52.9% hit rate over 34 games provides meaningful sample size. Road environments often force Fox into more perimeter-oriented offensive roles, as opposing defenses can pack the paint more effectively at home while crowd noise disrupts Sacramento's interior passing lanes. The current 3-game under streak appears more statistical noise than systematic shift, especially considering Fox previously sustained a 4-game over streak this season. His road three-point attempts have remained remarkably stable, suggesting the makes will regress toward his season average. The modest +1.1% ROI on overs indicates the market hasn't fully adjusted to Fox's elevated road volume, creating a sustainable edge. However, the -10.2% ROI on unders warns against contrarian plays during hot streaks. Fox's three-point shooting benefits from the increased spacing that road games often demand, as Sacramento adjusts their offensive approach to counter hostile environments.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Fox's consistent +0.68 differential above the typical line, combined with his 52.9% over rate across 34 road games, creates a sustainable edge despite the recent 3-game under streak. The road environment consistently pushes Fox toward higher three-point volume, and the market hasn't fully adjusted to this reality. Primary risk lies in potential regression from his current shooting efficiency, but the volume-based edge should persist.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 6.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-26 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is De'Aaron Fox's 3-Pointers Made prop record away games?
Fox has gone over his three-pointers made prop in 18 of 34 away games this season, posting a 52.9% over rate. His road record of 18-16-0 demonstrates consistent value above market expectations.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on De'Aaron Fox 3-Pointers Made away games?
Lean over on Fox's three-pointers made props in away games. His +0.68 differential above the typical line and 52.9% hit rate create sustainable value despite the recent 3-game under streak.
What's De'Aaron Fox's average 3-Pointers Made away games?
Fox averages 3.09 three-pointers made in away games compared to the typical 2.41 line, creating a significant +0.68 differential that consistently provides value for over bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Fox's three-point overs during road games against teams that defend the interior well, forcing Sacramento's offense to the perimeter. Avoid during back-to-back situations where his shot selection might become more selective.