Cody Martin's steals prop presents a clear under opportunity with just 36.4% overs across 11 games. His 0.91 average barely exceeds the 0.86 line, while under betting shows strong +21.5% ROI versus devastating -30.6% losses on overs. Lean Under with medium confidence.
Expert Analysis
Cody Martin's steal production reveals a player whose defensive impact doesn't translate to consistent statistical accumulation. The 4-7-0 over/under record tells a story of a role player whose gambling instincts are limited by Charlotte's defensive scheme and his primary responsibilities. Martin's 0.91 steal average represents modest production that barely clears most sportsbook lines, creating a false sense of value on overs. The concerning -30.6% ROI on over betting demonstrates how even slight production above the line doesn't compensate for the frequency of under results. His current three-game under streak aligns with his season-long pattern, suggesting this isn't random variance but rather his true talent level. Charlotte's pace and defensive philosophy likely constrain Martin's opportunities for aggressive steal attempts, as his role emphasizes positional defense over risk-taking. The balanced four-game streaks in both directions indicate some volatility, but the overall 36.4% over rate suggests books may be setting lines too optimistically based on occasional spike games rather than his consistent baseline production.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Martin's 36.4% over rate and strong +21.5% under ROI create a sustainable edge against inflated lines. The current three-game under streak reinforces his pattern of inconsistent steal production. Target unders when the line sits at 1.0 or higher, as his 0.91 average provides natural cushion. Main risk involves Charlotte facing high-pace opponents where increased possessions could boost steal opportunities.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 11 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Cody Martin's Steals prop record all games?
Cody Martin's steals prop shows a 4-7-0 over/under record across 11 games, hitting overs just 36.4% of the time. His under betting has generated +21.5% ROI while overs have lost -30.6%, creating a clear directional edge for disciplined bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Cody Martin Steals all games?
Bet under on Cody Martin's steals props. His 36.4% over rate and strong under ROI create sustainable value, especially with lines at 1.0 or higher. The current three-game under streak reinforces his pattern of inconsistent steal production throughout the season.
What's Cody Martin's average Steals all games?
Cody Martin averages 0.91 steals per game compared to the typical 0.86 line, creating a modest +0.1 differential. However, this slight edge doesn't overcome his 63.6% under frequency, making the average misleading for over betting despite appearing favorable on paper.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Cody Martin steals unders when lines reach 1.0 or higher, particularly in games where Charlotte faces methodical offenses. Avoid betting during high-pace matchups where increased possessions could boost his steal opportunities despite his typically conservative defensive approach.