Cody Martin has been a consistent under performer on his points total, hitting the over just twice in his last 10 games for a brutal 20% success rate. The Charlotte forward is averaging 6.7 points against an 8.7-point line, creating a massive -2.0 differential that screams systematic undervaluation by oddsmakers.
Expert Analysis
The numbers paint a clear picture of a player whose role has fundamentally shifted from what the betting market expects. Cody Martin's 20% over rate represents one of the most lopsided trends we've tracked, with the Charlotte forward consistently falling short of inflated expectations. The -2.0 point differential isn't just noise—it's a systematic gap that suggests either injury concerns, reduced usage, or a coaching decision that has permanently altered his offensive role. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the market's stubborn refusal to adjust. Lines hovering around 8.7 points continue to overestimate Martin's current output by nearly 25%, creating exploitable value on the under. The streak data reinforces this pattern, with Martin enduring a six-game under streak that only briefly interrupted by single-game over performances. This isn't a player in a temporary slump—this appears to be his new reality in Charlotte's rotation. The lack of meaningful over streaks suggests any positive regression would be minimal and short-lived. Most concerning for over bettors is that Martin's role appears cemented at this lower usage level, making dramatic scoring outbursts increasingly unlikely without significant roster changes or injuries to teammates.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Cody Martin's points props represent one of the clearest under plays in the current market, backed by overwhelming statistical evidence and a fundamental role change that oddsmakers haven't properly adjusted for. The ideal betting spot is when his line stays above 8.0 points, maximizing the gap between expectation and reality. The primary risk is injury to Charlotte's primary scorers forcing increased usage, but even then, Martin's shooting efficiency suggests modest scoring increases at best.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 7.5 | 12.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 7.5 | 5.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 8.5 | 2.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 9.5 | 11.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 7.5 | 7.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 8.5 | 5.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 8.5 | 6.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-09 | OPP | 11.5 | 5.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-02 | OPP | 8.5 | 7.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-31 | OPP | 9.5 | 7.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Cody Martin's Points prop record last 10 games?
Cody Martin has gone over his points total just twice in his last 10 games, posting a dismal 2-8-0 record for a 20% success rate. He's averaging 6.7 points against an 8.7-point line, creating a significant -2.0 differential that heavily favors under bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Cody Martin Points last 10 games?
Bet the under on Cody Martin's points props. The statistical evidence is overwhelming—he's hitting overs at just 20% while averaging 2.0 points below his typical line. This represents one of the clearest under plays available in the current market with excellent risk-adjusted returns.
What's Cody Martin's average Points last 10 games?
Cody Martin is averaging 6.7 points over his last 10 games compared to his typical 8.7-point betting line. This -2.0 differential represents a 23% gap between his actual production and market expectations, creating consistent value on under wagers.
How reliable is this trend?
The best time to bet Martin's points under is when his line stays above 8.0 points, maximizing the gap between expectation and reality. Avoid betting after Charlotte injuries that might force increased usage, as this represents the primary threat to the under trend continuing.