Cody Martin's blocks prop has been a consistent under performer, hitting just 40% overs across his last 10 games while averaging 0.6 blocks against a 0.5 line. Despite the slight positive differential, the under has delivered +14.6% ROI compared to -23.6% losses on overs, creating a clear edge.
Expert Analysis
Martin's blocks production reveals a player whose defensive impact doesn't translate to consistent shot-blocking numbers. At 6'5" playing primarily at forward, Martin lacks the rim protection size that generates reliable blocks, instead focusing on perimeter defense and steals. The 0.6 average against a 0.5 line appears favorable on paper, but the 40% over rate exposes the volatility inherent in blocks props for non-centers. Martin's role as a switchable defender means he's often matched against guards and wings rather than challenging shots at the rim. The recent 2-game over streak following a 4-game under run demonstrates this inconsistency perfectly. Charlotte's pace and defensive scheme also work against Martin, as the Hornets often prioritize switching over help defense, reducing his opportunities for weak-side blocks. The sample size of 10 games provides reasonable confidence, and Martin's physical limitations suggest this trend reflects his true ceiling rather than temporary variance. His blocks production depends heavily on opponent aggression attacking his coverage area, making it matchup-dependent rather than skill-driven. The under's superior ROI indicates the market may be slightly overvaluing his shot-blocking based on his overall defensive reputation rather than his actual rim protection numbers.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Martin's 40% over rate and -23.6% ROI on overs reveals a clear market inefficiency favoring the under. His perimeter-focused defensive role and lack of rim protection size make consistent blocks unlikely. Target games where Charlotte faces teams that attack through drives rather than post-ups, as Martin's switching responsibilities will keep him away from shot-blocking opportunities. The main risk is variance in a small sample, but his physical profile supports the trend continuing.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Cody Martin's Blocks prop record last 10 games?
Martin has gone 4-6-0 over/under on blocks props in his last 10 games, hitting just 40% overs. This translates to a -23.6% ROI on over bets while under bets have returned +14.6% profit during this span.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Cody Martin Blocks last 10 games?
Bet the under on Martin's blocks props. His 40% over rate and poor ROI on overs create clear value on the under, especially given his perimeter defensive role that limits rim protection opportunities.
What's Cody Martin's average Blocks last 10 games?
Martin has averaged 0.6 blocks per game over his last 10 contests, which is 0.1 above the typical 0.5 line. However, this slight edge is misleading given the 60% under rate and superior under ROI.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Martin blocks unders when Charlotte faces teams that attack through perimeter offense rather than interior scoring. His switching defensive role keeps him away from rim protection duties in these matchups.