Cody Martin's assists prop shows modest upside with a 50% over rate but meaningful +0.7 differential above his 4.1 line over the last 10 games. The 4.8 average suggests consistent playmaking value, though negative ROI on both sides indicates efficient market pricing. Lean over based on statistical edge.
Expert Analysis
Cody Martin's assists trend reveals a player exceeding market expectations despite mixed results. The 4.8 average against a 4.1 line represents a 17% statistical edge that's significant for prop betting. Martin's role as Charlotte's versatile forward has evolved into more playmaking responsibility, evidenced by surpassing his assists line in half his games while maintaining consistent involvement. The even 5-5 record masks the underlying value - when Martin hits the over, he's doing so meaningfully, creating positive expected value despite the negative ROI suggesting tight market efficiency. His assists production appears tied to Charlotte's pace and his usage in facilitating offense, particularly when the Hornets push tempo or when primary ball-handlers face defensive pressure. The lack of extreme streaks (longest runs of 3 overs, 2 unders) indicates sustainable production rather than variance-driven results. Martin's assists floor appears solid around 3-4, with upside games reaching 6-7 when Charlotte's offensive system maximizes his court vision. The current 1-game under streak represents potential regression opportunity, as his underlying playmaking role hasn't diminished. Market pricing appears slightly conservative, creating consistent value for over bettors willing to accept the inherent variance in assists props.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Martin's 4.8 average significantly exceeds the typical 4.1 line, creating a mathematical edge that outweighs the 50% hit rate. His expanded playmaking role in Charlotte's system provides a sustainable foundation for assists production. The primary risk lies in game script scenarios where the Hornets fall behind early and abandon ball movement for individual scoring, but Martin's consistent involvement suggests reliable floor production.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 7.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 10.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-09 | OPP | 5.5 | 5.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-02 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-31 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
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Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Cody Martin's Assists prop record last 10 games?
Cody Martin has gone 5-5-0 on assists overs in his last 10 games, hitting exactly 50% of his overs. While the record appears neutral, his 4.8 average significantly exceeds typical lines around 4.1, suggesting underlying value despite mixed results.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Cody Martin Assists last 10 games?
Lean over on Martin's assists props. His 4.8 average creates a +0.7 edge above standard lines, and his expanded playmaking role provides sustainable production. The 50% hit rate masks positive expected value when overs connect meaningfully.
What's Cody Martin's average Assists last 10 games?
Martin is averaging 4.8 assists over his last 10 games compared to his typical 4.1 line, creating a +0.7 differential. This 17% statistical edge represents significant value in the assists prop market despite the even 5-5 over/under record.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Martin's assists overs when Charlotte plays uptempo games or faces defensive pressure on primary ball-handlers. His playmaking role expands in these scenarios, and the current 1-game under streak may present regression opportunity after recent consistency.