Coby White's steals prop presents a clear under opportunity with just 40% overs hitting over his last 10 games. White is averaging 0.5 steals against a 0.7 line, creating a -0.2 differential that has delivered +14.6% ROI on unders. The data strongly favors the under.
Expert Analysis
Coby White's defensive counting stats reveal a player whose steal production consistently falls short of market expectations. The 0.5 average against a 0.7 line represents a meaningful 28.6% gap that suggests either the market hasn't adjusted to White's recent defensive role or his steal opportunities have diminished. As a guard who primarily focuses on offensive creation for Chicago, White's defensive energy allocation may be more selective, particularly during a sample that spans late season games where rotational priorities shift. The 4-6-0 over-under record isn't just slightly negative—it's decisively tilted toward unders with only a 40% hit rate. This pattern becomes more compelling when considering that steal props are often volatile and random, yet White has shown consistent underperformance. The current streak of one under suggests recent form aligns with the broader trend. Without significant role changes or matchup-specific factors driving increased steal opportunities, this differential appears sustainable rather than due for regression.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. White's 0.5 average creates a substantial cushion below the 0.7 line, and the 40% over rate indicates the market hasn't properly adjusted to his reduced steal production. The +14.6% ROI on unders provides quantifiable value. Main risk is variance inherent in defensive counting stats, but the sample size and consistency of underperformance outweigh random fluctuation concerns.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-18 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Coby White's Steals prop record last 10 games?
Coby White has gone over his steals prop in just 4 of his last 10 games (40% rate), with 6 unders and no pushes. This 4-6-0 record shows consistent underperformance against the betting line.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Coby White Steals last 10 games?
Bet the under on Coby White's steals prop. His 0.5 average is significantly below the typical 0.7 line, and unders have hit 60% of the time with positive ROI over his last 10 games.
What's Coby White's average Steals last 10 games?
Coby White is averaging 0.5 steals over his last 10 games compared to the standard 0.7 line. This -0.2 differential represents a 28.6% gap below market expectations, favoring under bets.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Coby White steals unders when the line is set at 0.5 or higher, especially during regular rotation games where his offensive responsibilities take priority over aggressive defensive gambling for steals.