Coby White's steals prop in back-to-back games presents a profitable over opportunity, hitting 60.0% of the time across 10 games with a +14.6% ROI. Despite averaging exactly the 0.7 line, the over frequency suggests consistent value when White plays on consecutive nights.
Expert Analysis
The 60.0% over rate on Coby White's steals prop during back-to-back games reveals an intriguing pattern that contradicts typical fatigue expectations. While most players see defensive intensity wane on zero rest, White maintains his pickpocket frequency at 0.7 steals per game, matching his season average exactly. This consistency becomes valuable when books set conservative lines expecting regression. The +14.6% ROI on overs demonstrates that White's defensive motor doesn't fade significantly on tired legs, likely due to his role as Chicago's primary ball-handler forcing him to stay engaged defensively. The recent streak of one under shouldn't concern bettors, as White previously strung together five consecutive overs in this spot. His defensive positioning as a guard naturally creates steal opportunities through deflections and gambling in passing lanes, skills that translate regardless of rest. The Bulls' pace and defensive scheme appear to maintain White's steal production even when legs are heavy. However, the -23.6% ROI on unders shows that fading this trend has been costly, suggesting the market consistently undervalues White's defensive consistency in back-to-back situations.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. White's 60.0% over rate and +14.6% ROI in back-to-back games indicates the market undervalues his defensive consistency on zero rest. Target this spot when the line sits at 0.5, as his 0.7 average provides cushion. Main risk is small sample size and potential defensive scheme changes that could limit his steal opportunities.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-18 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Coby White's Steals prop record back-to-back games?
Coby White has gone over his steals prop 6 times and under 4 times in back-to-back games, posting a 6-4-0 record for 60.0% overs across 10 games this season.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Coby White Steals back-to-back games?
Lean over on Coby White's steals in back-to-back games. The 60.0% over rate and +14.6% ROI suggest consistent value, especially when the line is set at 0.5.
What's Coby White's average Steals back-to-back games?
Coby White averages exactly 0.7 steals in back-to-back games, matching the typical line perfectly. This consistency despite fatigue concerns creates betting value when books expect regression.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Coby White steals overs in back-to-back games when the line is 0.5, giving maximum cushion. Avoid after extended over streaks or when Chicago faces elite pace teams.