Coby White's steal props away from home present a marginal edge with 53.3% over rate (16-14 record) and 0.83 average versus 0.6 line. The +0.23 differential suggests consistent line value, though modest ROI (+1.8%) indicates a lean over rather than strong play.
Expert Analysis
Coby White's away steal production reveals a subtle but persistent edge that reflects his defensive engagement on the road. Averaging 0.83 steals against a 0.6 line creates a meaningful 38% cushion, suggesting oddsmakers consistently undervalue his defensive activity in hostile environments. The 53.3% over rate across 30 games demonstrates reliability without being overwhelming, indicating this isn't a mispriced market but rather a slight systematic undervaluation. White's guard position naturally generates steal opportunities through passing lane disruptions and pressure defense, and road games often feature increased pace and transition opportunities that favor active defenders. The modest +1.8% ROI over suggests this edge exists but isn't massive, making it more sustainable long-term than explosive trends that quickly get corrected. However, the -10.9% under ROI indicates significant risk in fading this trend. The lack of extreme streaks (longest over just 5 games) shows consistent rather than volatile performance, which actually strengthens the case for systematic underpricing rather than random variance.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 0.83 average versus 0.6 line creates legitimate value, supported by a 53.3% hit rate that indicates consistent underpricing rather than market efficiency. Target this prop when White faces up-tempo opponents or teams prone to turnovers, as increased possessions amplify steal opportunities. Primary risk is Chicago's defensive scheme changes or White's role reduction impacting his defensive aggression.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-18 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Coby White's Steals prop record away games?
Coby White has gone over his steals prop in 16 of 30 away games (53.3% rate) with a 16-14-0 record. His consistent performance above the line suggests reliable value in road environments.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Coby White Steals away games?
Lean over on Coby White's steals props in away games. His 0.83 average significantly exceeds the typical 0.6 line, and the 53.3% hit rate indicates systematic undervaluation by oddsmakers.
What's Coby White's average Steals away games?
Coby White averages 0.83 steals in away games, which is 0.23 above the standard 0.6 line. This 38% differential represents meaningful value that has sustained across a 30-game sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Coby White steal overs in away games against high-pace teams or turnover-prone opponents. Road environments with increased possessions and transition opportunities maximize his defensive upside potential.