Coby White has hit the over on his points total in 61.5% of games with 2+ days rest, going 8-5-0 over his last 13 such contests. Despite averaging 19.85 points against a 20.35 line, the over generates a strong +17.5% ROI. Lean over with medium confidence.
Expert Analysis
The 61.5% over rate for Coby White's points props with extended rest reveals a player who benefits significantly from recovery time. While his 19.85 scoring average sits 0.5 points below the typical 20.35 line, the betting market consistently undervalues his rest-day performance. The +17.5% ROI on overs suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to White's enhanced output when fresh. This edge likely stems from White's role as Chicago's primary offensive initiator, where extra rest allows him to maintain his aggressive scoring mentality throughout games. The Bulls' pace and White's usage rate both trend higher when he's had time to recover, creating more scoring opportunities. However, the recent streak of two consecutive unders introduces some caution. White's shooting variance can be significant, and his prop lines may be catching up to his rest-day performance. The sample size of 13 games provides decent reliability, but regression toward his season averages remains possible. The key question is whether Chicago's offensive system continues generating the same volume of looks for White, particularly as the team's rotation and strategy evolve throughout the season.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 61.5% hit rate and +17.5% ROI demonstrate clear value in backing Coby White's points overs with extended rest. Target games where Chicago faces uptempo opponents or when White's prop sits at 20 or below. The main risk is his recent cold streak extending, as shooting variance can create longer under runs than the data suggests.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 13 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-11 | OPP | 20.5 | 5.0 | -15.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 18.5 | 2.0 | -16.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-04 | OPP | 21.5 | 37.0 | +15.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 22.5 | 16.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 22.5 | 33.0 | +10.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 23.5 | 26.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-28 | OPP | 22.5 | 15.0 | -7.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-25 | OPP | 21.5 | 25.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-18 | OPP | 19.5 | 23.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-08 | OPP | 18.5 | 27.0 | +8.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-02 | OPP | 22.5 | 14.0 | -8.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-06 | OPP | 17.5 | 19.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-12 | OPP | 13.5 | 16.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Coby White's Points prop record 2+ days rest?
Coby White is 8-5-0 over/under on his points props with 2+ days rest, hitting the over 61.5% of the time. This translates to a profitable +17.5% ROI when betting overs in these situations over his last 13 qualifying games.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Coby White Points 2+ days rest?
Lean over on Coby White's points props with 2+ days rest. The 61.5% over rate and strong ROI indicate consistent value, though his recent two-game under streak warrants some caution when sizing bets.
What's Coby White's average Points 2+ days rest?
Coby White averages 19.85 points with 2+ days rest, which is 0.5 points below his typical line of 20.35. Despite this negative differential, the over still hits 61.5% of the time, indicating market inefficiency.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Coby White points overs when he has 2+ days rest and faces uptempo opponents. Avoid after extended under streaks or when his line inflates above 21 points, as the edge diminishes significantly.