Coby White's blocks props at home present a stark betting edge, with the under hitting 77.3% of the time across 22 games. His 0.23 blocks per game average falls significantly short of the typical 0.5 line, creating a -0.3 differential that has produced a 47.5% ROI on unders. This is a clear lean under situation.
Expert Analysis
The data reveals a fundamental mismatch between oddsmakers' expectations and White's actual production in blocks at home. His 0.23 blocks per game average represents less than half the standard 0.5 line, indicating books are consistently overvaluing his defensive impact. This isn't surprising given White's offensive-minded skill set as a scoring guard who averaged 19.1 points per game in 2023-24. Guards of his archetype typically focus energy on perimeter defense and help rotations rather than shot-blocking, which requires precise timing and positioning near the rim. The current four-game under streak extends a pattern of consistent underperformance, with his longest over streak reaching just one game compared to a six-game under run. The 77.3% under rate suggests this isn't random variance but a structural edge. White's role as Chicago's primary offensive initiator means he's often positioned away from shot-blocking opportunities, instead focusing on ball movement and scoring. The -56.6% ROI on overs demonstrates how punishing this prop has been for those betting the higher number, while under bettors have enjoyed consistent profits.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. White's 0.23 blocks per game at home creates a substantial gap below the standard 0.5 line, supported by a 77.3% under rate and profitable 47.5% ROI. His offensive-focused role naturally limits shot-blocking opportunities. The main risk is potential lineup changes or increased defensive responsibility, but his consistent underperformance suggests this edge should persist through normal game flow.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Coby White's Blocks prop record home games?
Coby White's blocks prop record in home games stands at 5-17-0 over/under, meaning the under has hit in 17 of 22 games (77.3%). This represents one of the more lopsided prop records, with overs connecting just 22.7% of the time across the sample.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Coby White Blocks home games?
Bet under on Coby White's blocks props at home games. The data strongly supports this approach with a 77.3% under rate and 47.5% ROI. His offensive role and 0.23 blocks per game average create a clear structural edge against the typical 0.5 line.
What's Coby White's average Blocks home games?
Coby White averages 0.23 blocks per game in home contests, which falls significantly below the standard 0.5 line. This -0.3 differential represents a substantial gap that has consistently favored under bettors throughout the 22-game sample period.
How reliable is this trend?
The best time to bet Coby White's blocks under is when the line sits at 0.5, which creates maximum value given his 0.23 average. Normal game scripts where he maintains his typical offensive role provide ideal conditions for this edge to manifest.