Fade UNDER
3-7 O/U Record
30.0% Over Rate
-4.3u Units Won
-42.7% ROI
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Coby White's assists props present a compelling under opportunity, hitting just 30.0% over the last 10 games with a brutal -42.7% ROI on overs. White is averaging 3.3 assists against a 4.3 line, creating a full assist gap that suggests consistent undervaluation by oddsmakers.

Expert Analysis

The numbers tell a clear story about Coby White's playmaking role within Chicago's offensive structure. Averaging 3.3 assists against a 4.3 line represents a significant 23.3% shortfall that indicates either a fundamental shift in his usage or persistent line inflation. White's 3-7-0 under record isn't just bad luck—it reflects his primary role as a scorer rather than facilitator in the Bulls' system. The concerning -42.7% ROI on overs suggests the market hasn't adjusted to White's actual assist production, creating exploitable value on the under side. His current two-game under streak follows a pattern where he's struggled to reach the assist threshold consistently, with his longest under streak reaching four games during this sample. The 33.6% ROI on unders demonstrates that backing White to fall short of his assist line has been profitable, and the persistence of this trend suggests it's not merely variance. Without significant changes to Chicago's offensive philosophy or White's role as primary facilitator, this gap between expectation and reality should continue. The market appears slow to recognize that White's scoring-first mentality limits his assist upside, particularly when the Bulls rely on his individual offense rather than his playmaking.

Betting Verdict

LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. White's 30.0% over rate and -1.0 average differential create consistent value on the under side. The 33.6% under ROI demonstrates profitability, while his scoring-first role limits assist ceiling. Target unders when lines remain inflated above 4.0, but monitor for potential role changes that could shift his playmaking responsibilities within Chicago's system.

3 OVERS (30.0%)
7 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 10 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2025-03-31 OPP 4.5 1.0 -3.5 UNDER
2025-03-29 OPP 4.5 2.0 -2.5 UNDER
2025-03-24 OPP 3.5 4.0 +0.5 OVER
2025-03-17 OPP 4.5 4.0 -0.5 UNDER
2025-03-15 OPP 4.5 4.0 -0.5 UNDER
2025-02-11 OPP 4.5 2.0 -2.5 UNDER
2025-02-02 OPP 4.5 3.0 -1.5 UNDER
2025-01-06 OPP 3.5 4.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-11-23 OPP 4.5 5.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-11-18 OPP 4.5 4.0 -0.5 UNDER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 50.0% Over
Away 16.7% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 20.0% Over
Last 10 30.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Coby White's Assists prop record last 10 games?

Coby White's assists props have gone under in 7 of his last 10 games (3-7-0 record, 30.0% over rate). He's averaging 3.3 assists against a typical 4.3 line, showing consistent underperformance of nearly one full assist per game.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Coby White Assists last 10 games?

Bet under on Coby White assists props. His 30.0% over rate and -1.0 average differential create clear value on unders, generating 33.6% ROI compared to -42.7% losses on overs. The trend shows persistence rather than variance.

What's Coby White's average Assists last 10 games?

Coby White is averaging 3.3 assists over his last 10 games against a typical 4.3 line. This -1.0 differential represents a 23.3% shortfall, indicating the market consistently overvalues his playmaking production in Chicago's system.

How reliable is this trend?

Target Coby White assist unders when lines stay inflated above 4.0, particularly during his current role as scorer-first guard. Avoid when Bulls face pace-up spots or if his usage shifts toward more facilitation responsibilities.

Methodology: This analysis covers 10 games from 2024-11-18 to 2025-03-31. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.