Caleb Ward's Points props home games have been a mixed bag. In 76 games, he's hit the over 52.8% of the time, averaging 15.28 against a 15.33 line. The -0.05 differential suggests no strong lean either way— look for additional edges before betting this spot.

The Numbers: 38-34-4 O/U

52.8% Over Rate
15.28 Avg PTS
15.33 Avg Line
-0.1 Avg vs Line
+0.8% Over ROI
76 Games
OVER 52.8%
UNDER 47.2%
⚖️ Verdict: Coin Flip

Performance vs Line

Line shows prop line, bars show actual performance. Green = Over, Red = Under.

Game Log (Last 0 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result

Showing most recent games. View full game log →

Situational Splits

Home vs Away

Home 52.8% Over (38-34)
Away 0% Over (0-0)

By Line Range

Line ≤ 14.5 70.6% Over
Line > 14.5 36.8% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 75.0% Over (3-1)
Last 10 44.4% Over (4-5)

Why This Trend Exists

Analysis coming soon. This trend shows interesting patterns worth monitoring.

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📊 No Clear Edge Here

This prop is close to a coin flip. Look for line value or combine with other factors.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Caleb Ward's Points prop record home games?

Caleb Ward has gone OVER on points props in 38 of 76 games (52.8%) home games. The full O/U record is 38-34-4.

Should I bet the OVER or UNDER on Caleb Ward Points?

Based on historical data, the OVER has been more profitable. The OVER has returned +0.8% ROI while the UNDER has returned -9.8% ROI in this spot.

What's Caleb Ward's average Points home games?

Caleb Ward averages 15.28 points home games, compared to an average prop line of 15.33. That's a differential of -0.1 vs the number.

How reliable is this Points trend for Caleb Ward?

This trend is based on 76 games. With 20+ games, this is a reliable sample size. The data spans from 2020-11-03 to 2025-06-17.

Methodology

This analysis covers 76 games from 2020-11-03 to 2025-06-17. Over/Under results are calculated using closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice on all bets. Pushes are excluded from percentage calculations.

Last Updated: February 04, 2026