The under has been the play for Brook Soto on Steals props home games. In 90 games, he's gone OVER just 39.0% of the time, averaging 1.03 against a 1.27 line. That's -0.24 below the number—sharp bettors have been fading this prop.

The Numbers: 30-47-13 O/U

39.0% Over Rate
1.03 Avg STL
1.27 Avg Line
-0.2 Avg vs Line
-25.6% Over ROI
90 Games
OVER 39.0%
UNDER 61.0%
⚠️ Verdict: Lean Under

Performance vs Line

Line shows prop line, bars show actual performance. Green = Over, Red = Under.

Game Log (Last 0 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result

Showing most recent games. View full game log →

Situational Splits

Home vs Away

Home 39.0% Over (30-47)
Away 0% Over (0-0)

By Line Range

Line ≤ 1.0 57.1% Over
Line > 1.0 17.1% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 75.0% Over (3-1)
Last 10 44.4% Over (4-5)

Why This Trend Exists

Analysis coming soon. This trend shows interesting patterns worth monitoring.

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📉 The Data Says: UNDER on Brook Soto Steals

The UNDER has returned +16.5% ROI in this spot. Shop for the best number.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Brook Soto's Steals prop record home games?

Brook Soto has gone OVER on steals props in 30 of 90 games (39.0%) home games. The full O/U record is 30-47-13.

Should I bet the OVER or UNDER on Brook Soto Steals?

Based on historical data, the UNDER has been more profitable. The OVER has returned -25.6% ROI while the UNDER has returned +16.5% ROI in this spot.

What's Brook Soto's average Steals home games?

Brook Soto averages 1.03 steals home games, compared to an average prop line of 1.27. That's a differential of -0.2 vs the number.

How reliable is this Steals trend for Brook Soto?

This trend is based on 90 games. With 20+ games, this is a reliable sample size. The data spans from 2020-10-18 to 2025-05-20.

Methodology

This analysis covers 90 games from 2020-10-18 to 2025-05-20. Over/Under results are calculated using closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice on all bets. Pushes are excluded from percentage calculations.

Last Updated: February 04, 2026