Brook Lopez has been a consistent under performer on three-pointers made in away games, hitting the over just 41.7% of the time across 36 games. Despite averaging 1.69 makes against a typical 1.5 line, the under has delivered an 11.4% ROI while overs have lost 20.4%. This represents a clear lean under opportunity.
Expert Analysis
The numbers paint a clear picture of Lopez struggling with his outside shot on the road. While his 1.69 average appears to comfortably clear the standard 1.5 line, the reality is more nuanced. Road environments consistently disrupt Lopez's three-point rhythm, whether through crowd noise affecting his mechanics, unfamiliar sight lines, or simply the mental adjustment of playing away from home. The 58.3% under rate isn't marginal—it's a sustained pattern across a meaningful 36-game sample. What makes this trend particularly reliable is Lopez's role in Milwaukee's offense. As a traditional center who spots up from deep, he's dependent on quality looks created by Gianmilton Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard. Road games often see tighter rotations and more defensive attention on Milwaukee's stars, leaving Lopez with fewer clean opportunities. The seven-game under streak he recently completed demonstrates how quickly these props can cascade when his shot selection becomes limited. The persistence of this trend suggests it's rooted in fundamental factors rather than random variance, making it a sustainable betting angle.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 58.3% under rate combined with positive ROI creates a clear edge, particularly when Lopez faces elite perimeter defenses on the road. Target games where Milwaukee is road underdogs or facing teams that pack the paint defensively. The main risk is a hot shooting variance run, but the underlying factors supporting fewer attempts and makes away from home remain intact.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-18 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
Compare Brook Lopez props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Brook Lopez's 3-Pointers Made prop record away games?
Lopez has gone 15-21-0 on three-pointers made overs in away games, hitting just 41.7% across 36 games. The under has been profitable with an 11.4% ROI while overs have lost bettors 20.4% over this extended sample.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Brook Lopez 3-Pointers Made away games?
Bet the under on Lopez's three-pointers made in away games. The 58.3% under rate with positive ROI creates a sustainable edge, especially when Milwaukee faces strong perimeter defenses or plays as road underdogs.
What's Brook Lopez's average 3-Pointers Made away games?
Lopez averages 1.69 three-pointers made in away games, which is 0.19 above the typical 1.5 line. However, this modest edge hasn't translated to consistent overs, with the under hitting 58.3% of the time despite the favorable average.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Lopez three-point unders when Milwaukee plays road games against teams with strong perimeter defense or when the Bucks are underdogs. Avoid betting after multiple consecutive unders due to potential regression to his season average.