The under has been the play for Brock Nelson on Steals props all games. In 172 games, he's gone OVER just 34.2% of the time, averaging 0.73 against a 1.03 line. That's -0.3 below the number—sharp bettors have been fading this prop.

The Numbers: 53-102-17 O/U

34.2% Over Rate
0.73 Avg STL
1.03 Avg Line
-0.3 Avg vs Line
-34.7% Over ROI
172 Games
OVER 34.2%
UNDER 65.8%
🚫 Verdict: Smash the Under

Performance vs Line

Line shows prop line, bars show actual performance. Green = Over, Red = Under.

Game Log (Last 0 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result

Showing most recent games. View full game log →

Situational Splits

Home vs Away

Home 33.8% Over (27-53)
Away 34.7% Over (26-49)

By Line Range

Line ≤ 0.5 0% Over
Line > 0.5 34.2% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 20.0% Over (1-4)
Last 10 11.1% Over (1-8)

Why This Trend Exists

Analysis coming soon. This trend shows interesting patterns worth monitoring.

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📉 The Data Says: UNDER on Brock Nelson Steals

The UNDER has returned +25.6% ROI in this spot. Shop for the best number.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Brock Nelson's Steals prop record all games?

Brock Nelson has gone OVER on steals props in 53 of 172 games (34.2%) all games. The full O/U record is 53-102-17.

Should I bet the OVER or UNDER on Brock Nelson Steals?

Based on historical data, the UNDER has been more profitable. The OVER has returned -34.7% ROI while the UNDER has returned +25.6% ROI in this spot.

What's Brock Nelson's average Steals all games?

Brock Nelson averages 0.73 steals all games, compared to an average prop line of 1.03. That's a differential of -0.3 vs the number.

How reliable is this Steals trend for Brock Nelson?

This trend is based on 172 games. With 20+ games, this is a reliable sample size. The data spans from 2020-10-20 to 2025-06-26.

Methodology

This analysis covers 172 games from 2020-10-20 to 2025-06-26. Over/Under results are calculated using closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice on all bets. Pushes are excluded from percentage calculations.

Last Updated: February 04, 2026