Brock Nelson's Points props all games have been a mixed bag. In 172 games, he's hit the over 48.1% of the time, averaging 15.31 against a 15.31 line. The +0.01 differential suggests no strong lean either way— look for additional edges before betting this spot.

The Numbers: 77-83-12 O/U

48.1% Over Rate
15.31 Avg PTS
15.31 Avg Line
+0.0 Avg vs Line
-8.1% Over ROI
172 Games
OVER 48.1%
UNDER 51.9%
⚖️ Verdict: Coin Flip

Performance vs Line

Line shows prop line, bars show actual performance. Green = Over, Red = Under.

Game Log (Last 0 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result

Showing most recent games. View full game log →

Situational Splits

Home vs Away

Home 47.4% Over (37-41)
Away 48.8% Over (40-42)

By Line Range

Line ≤ 15.5 67.1% Over
Line > 15.5 29.6% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 60.0% Over (3-2)
Last 10 40.0% Over (4-6)

Why This Trend Exists

Analysis coming soon. This trend shows interesting patterns worth monitoring.

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📊 No Clear Edge Here

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Brock Nelson's Points prop record all games?

Brock Nelson has gone OVER on points props in 77 of 172 games (48.1%) all games. The full O/U record is 77-83-12.

Should I bet the OVER or UNDER on Brock Nelson Points?

Based on historical data, the UNDER has been more profitable. The OVER has returned -8.1% ROI while the UNDER has returned -1.0% ROI in this spot.

What's Brock Nelson's average Points all games?

Brock Nelson averages 15.31 points all games, compared to an average prop line of 15.31. That's a differential of +0.0 vs the number.

How reliable is this Points trend for Brock Nelson?

This trend is based on 172 games. With 20+ games, this is a reliable sample size. The data spans from 2020-10-20 to 2025-06-26.

Methodology

This analysis covers 172 games from 2020-10-20 to 2025-06-26. Over/Under results are calculated using closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice on all bets. Pushes are excluded from percentage calculations.

Last Updated: February 04, 2026