The under has been the play for Brock Nelson on Assists props all games. In 172 games, he's gone OVER just 35.1% of the time, averaging 2.3 against a 2.56 line. That's -0.26 below the number—sharp bettors have been fading this prop.

The Numbers: 54-100-18 O/U

35.1% Over Rate
2.3 Avg AST
2.56 Avg Line
-0.3 Avg vs Line
-33.1% Over ROI
172 Games
OVER 35.1%
UNDER 64.9%
⚠️ Verdict: Lean Under

Performance vs Line

Line shows prop line, bars show actual performance. Green = Over, Red = Under.

Game Log (Last 0 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result

Showing most recent games. View full game log →

Situational Splits

Home vs Away

Home 27.3% Over (21-56)
Away 42.9% Over (33-44)

By Line Range

Line ≤ 2.5 35.1% Over
Line > 2.5 35.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 40.0% Over (2-3)
Last 10 40.0% Over (4-6)

Why This Trend Exists

Analysis coming soon. This trend shows interesting patterns worth monitoring.

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📉 The Data Says: UNDER on Brock Nelson Assists

The UNDER has returned +24.0% ROI in this spot. Shop for the best number.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Brock Nelson's Assists prop record all games?

Brock Nelson has gone OVER on assists props in 54 of 172 games (35.1%) all games. The full O/U record is 54-100-18.

Should I bet the OVER or UNDER on Brock Nelson Assists?

Based on historical data, the UNDER has been more profitable. The OVER has returned -33.1% ROI while the UNDER has returned +24.0% ROI in this spot.

What's Brock Nelson's average Assists all games?

Brock Nelson averages 2.3 assists all games, compared to an average prop line of 2.56. That's a differential of -0.3 vs the number.

How reliable is this Assists trend for Brock Nelson?

This trend is based on 172 games. With 20+ games, this is a reliable sample size. The data spans from 2020-10-20 to 2025-06-26.

Methodology

This analysis covers 172 games from 2020-10-20 to 2025-06-26. Over/Under results are calculated using closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice on all bets. Pushes are excluded from percentage calculations.

Last Updated: February 04, 2026