Brandon Ingram's three-point production shows marginal upside potential with a 1.8 average against a 1.3 line over his last 10 games. The 5-5 over/under record reflects inconsistent volume, but the +0.5 differential suggests modest value on overs when conditions align.
Expert Analysis
Ingram's three-point metrics reveal a player caught between roles and opportunity. His 1.8 average against the 1.3 line creates a compelling 0.5-make buffer, yet the neutral 50% over rate exposes the volatility inherent in low-volume shooting props. The current three-game under streak represents natural regression from earlier hot shooting rather than a fundamental shift in approach. Ingram's three-point success hinges heavily on game script and offensive flow - he's not a pure volume shooter who forces attempts regardless of situation. The lack of split data limits our ability to identify optimal spots, but his historical profile suggests he performs better in uptempo games where the Raptors are competitive or trailing. The negative ROI on both sides indicates the market has been relatively efficient, making selective spot-picking crucial. Ingram's three-point props are particularly vulnerable to defensive adjustments and his own shot selection discipline. When he's facilitating heavily or the game turns into a grind-it-out affair, his three-point attempts often decrease significantly. The key risk lies in his inconsistent role within Toronto's offense - some nights he's the primary initiator, others he's more of a complementary scorer, directly impacting his three-point volume and quality of looks.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The +0.5 differential provides meaningful cushion in a prop where one make matters significantly. Target games where Toronto faces pace-up opponents or projects to trail, forcing Ingram into more aggressive offensive roles. Main risk is his inconsistent shot selection and Toronto's tendency toward slower-paced games that limit overall three-point volume.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 8.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Brandon Ingram's 3-Pointers Made prop record last 10 games?
Ingram has gone 5-5 over/under on his three-pointers made prop in his last 10 games, hitting exactly 50% of overs. This neutral record masks his 1.8 average, which exceeds the typical 1.3 line by half a make.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Brandon Ingram 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Lean over on Ingram's three-pointers made, especially in uptempo games or when Toronto is projected to trail. His 1.8 average provides meaningful cushion against the 1.3 line, though selective spot-picking remains essential given the inconsistent volume.
What's Brandon Ingram's average 3-Pointers Made last 10 games?
Ingram has averaged 1.8 three-pointers made over his last 10 games compared to his typical 1.3 line. This +0.5 differential represents significant value in low-volume props where single makes heavily impact outcomes.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Ingram's three-point props when Toronto faces pace-up opponents or is projected to trail, forcing more aggressive offensive approaches. Avoid slower-paced games or spots where he's expected to facilitate heavily rather than score.