Brandon Ingram's assists prop in away games presents a coin-flip scenario with an 11-12-0 record (47.8% overs) and minimal edge. His 5.7 average barely deviates from the 5.72 line, creating a near-perfect push situation that offers little betting value.
Expert Analysis
Brandon Ingram's away assists trend reveals a remarkably balanced proposition that lacks the exploitable edge premium bettors seek. His 5.7 average against a 5.72 line creates just a 0.02 assist differential—essentially statistical noise rather than meaningful variance. The 47.8% over rate sits dangerously close to the break-even threshold, while the -8.7% ROI on overs demonstrates how tight margins compound into losses over time. What makes this trend particularly challenging is the absence of clear driving factors. Unlike props driven by pace, usage, or matchup dynamics, Ingram's assist production appears remarkably consistent regardless of venue. The current two-game under streak offers no predictive value given the sample's overall randomness. Without split data revealing specific conditions where Ingram's playmaking spikes or dips, bettors are essentially gambling on variance rather than exploiting a systematic edge. The 23-game sample provides adequate data to conclude this prop lacks the directional bias that creates long-term profitability. Road environments typically affect players through fatigue, unfamiliar rims, or hostile crowds, but Ingram's assist numbers show no meaningful venue-based impact.
Betting Verdict
PASS with HIGH confidence. Brandon Ingram's away assists prop offers no discernible edge, with his 5.7 average nearly identical to the 5.72 line and a balanced 47.8% over rate. The negative ROI on both sides confirms this is a house-favored proposition where the juice outweighs any perceived advantage. Smart money avoids coin-flip scenarios lacking systematic bias.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 5.5 | 3.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 6.5 | 2.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 5.5 | 10.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-08 | OPP | 5.5 | 5.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 6.5 | 5.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-05 | OPP | 6.5 | 9.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-29 | OPP | 5.5 | 6.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 6.5 | 1.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-23 | OPP | 6.5 | 6.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-19 | OPP | 5.5 | 11.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-02 | OPP | 5.5 | 5.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-31 | OPP | 5.5 | 8.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-28 | OPP | 5.5 | 5.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-26 | OPP | 5.5 | 7.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-19 | OPP | 5.5 | 6.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Brandon Ingram's Assists prop record away games?
Brandon Ingram has gone over his assists prop in 11 of 23 away games (47.8% rate) with 12 unders and no pushes. His 5.7 average barely differs from the typical 5.72 line, creating an essentially even proposition.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Brandon Ingram Assists away games?
Neither side offers value. With a 47.8% over rate and -8.7% ROI on overs versus -0.4% on unders, both directions show negative expected value. This prop lacks the systematic bias needed for profitable betting.
What's Brandon Ingram's average Assists away games?
Brandon Ingram averages 5.7 assists in away games compared to the standard 5.72 line, creating just a 0.02 differential. This minimal gap indicates the market has accurately priced his road assist production.
How reliable is this trend?
Avoid betting Brandon Ingram's assists props in away games entirely. The balanced results and negative ROI on both sides indicate no profitable conditions exist. Focus on props with clearer directional edges instead.