Bogdan Bogdanović's three-pointers made prop shows a slight over lean at 52.9% (9-8-0 record) across 17 games, though his 2.65 average sits just 0.1 below the typical 2.74 line. The marginal +1.1% ROI on overs suggests minimal edge in this balanced market.
Expert Analysis
Bogdanović's three-point prop presents a fascinating case study in market efficiency. His 52.9% over rate across 17 games suggests books have this number dialed in correctly, with the Serbian shooter averaging 2.65 makes against a 2.74 line. The minimal -0.1 differential indicates oddsmakers understand his role perfectly - he's neither consistently exceeding nor falling short of expectations by significant margins. The +1.1% ROI on overs is essentially breakeven territory when factoring in juice, while the -10.2% under ROI reflects the slight over tendency. What's most telling is the consistency of his streaks - both his longest over and under runs cap at just two games, indicating he lacks the volatile ceiling games that create massive prop value. His role as the Clippers' secondary three-point threat behind established stars means his attempts stay relatively stable game-to-game. Without meaningful splits data showing exploitable situational advantages, this prop appears to be priced accurately by the market. The recent two-game over streak doesn't signal a trend shift given the small sample and his established pattern of short streaks.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. Bogdanović's three-point prop is essentially a coin flip with minimal edge either direction. The 52.9% over rate and near-even average versus line differential suggest books have found the sweet spot. While overs show slight historical advantage, the +1.1% ROI barely covers juice costs, making this more suitable for parlay filler than standalone value.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-28 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-08 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-05 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Bogdan Bogdanović's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Bogdan Bogdanović has gone over his three-pointers made prop in 9 of 17 games (52.9%) while going under 8 times. His current streak shows 2 consecutive overs, matching his longest streak in either direction this season.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Bogdan Bogdanović 3-Pointers Made all games?
Pass on Bogdanović's three-pointers made props. The 52.9% over rate and minimal +1.1% ROI on overs indicates this is efficiently priced by books. Neither side offers meaningful edge worth pursuing as a standalone bet.
What's Bogdan Bogdanović's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bogdanović averages 2.65 three-pointers made per game across his 17-game sample, sitting 0.1 makes below the typical line of 2.74. This minimal differential suggests accurate market pricing with limited exploitable value either direction.
How reliable is this trend?
There's no optimal time to bet Bogdanović's three-point props based on available data. His consistent role and lack of meaningful situational splits make this a market-efficient prop best avoided or used only as parlay filler.