Bennedict Mathurin's rebounding has been significantly undervalued by oddsmakers over his last 10 games, hitting the over 60% of the time with a 6-4-0 record. The Pacers guard is averaging 5.4 rebounds against a 4.6 line, creating a +0.8 differential that translates to solid +14.6% ROI on overs.
Expert Analysis
Mathurin's rebounding surge reflects his expanded role in Indiana's rotation and the team's emphasis on guard rebounding in their uptempo system. The 5.4 average against a 4.6 line suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his increased court time and rebounding responsibility. His 6-foot-6 frame gives him natural advantages over smaller guards, while the Pacers' pace creates more rebounding opportunities per game. The +14.6% ROI on overs indicates genuine market inefficiency rather than random variance. However, the recent 1-game under streak and limited sample size warrant caution. Mathurin's rebounding can be volatile game-to-game, particularly against teams with strong interior presence or in blowout scenarios where his minutes might be reduced. The lack of split data makes it difficult to identify optimal spots, but his baseline production appears sustainable given his physical tools and role expansion. The key risk is regression to his career norms if his usage decreases or if teams begin targeting him on the boards defensively.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Mathurin's 5.4 average against a 4.6 line represents clear value, supported by his expanded role and the Pacers' rebounding-friendly system. The 60% hit rate and positive ROI suggest oddsmakers are slow to adjust. Target games where Indiana faces smaller backcourts or plays at home where Mathurin's minutes are most secure.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 5.5 | 8.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-28 | OPP | 5.5 | 4.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-26 | OPP | 4.5 | 9.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 4.5 | 11.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-07 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-21 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-19 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-14 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-12 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Bennedict Mathurin's Rebounds prop record last 10 games?
Mathurin has gone over his rebounds prop in 6 of his last 10 games (60% hit rate) with 4 unders and no pushes. This 6-4-0 record has generated a solid +14.6% ROI for over bettors during this stretch.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Bennedict Mathurin Rebounds last 10 games?
Lean over on Mathurin's rebounds props. His 5.4 average significantly exceeds the typical 4.6 line, creating an +0.8 differential that has produced consistent value. The 60% hit rate and positive ROI support continued over betting until oddsmakers adjust.
What's Bennedict Mathurin's average Rebounds last 10 games?
Mathurin is averaging 5.4 rebounds over his last 10 games compared to an average line of 4.6. This +0.8 differential represents meaningful value, as he's consistently exceeding market expectations by nearly a full rebound per game.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Mathurin rebounds overs when Indiana faces smaller backcourts or plays at home where his minutes are most secure. Avoid games against elite rebounding teams or potential blowouts where his fourth-quarter usage could be limited.