Bennedict Mathurin's rebounding props present a solid edge with overs hitting at 57.1% (8-6 record) while averaging 5.0 rebounds against a 4.36 line. The +0.6 differential and +9.1% ROI on overs suggests consistent value, making this a lean over opportunity.
Expert Analysis
Mathurin's rebounding success stems from his 6'6" frame and improving positioning as he matures in his second NBA season. The 5.0 average against a 4.36 line represents genuine value, not just variance, as guards increasingly contribute on the glass in today's pace-heavy NBA. His 57.1% over rate across 14 games shows consistency rather than hot streaks, with the longest over run being just three games. The Pacers' uptempo style under Rick Carlisle creates additional rebounding opportunities, particularly for wings like Mathurin who can crash from the perimeter. What's encouraging is the sustainability factor - young players typically improve their rebounding instincts throughout their careers, and Mathurin's athletic profile suggests room for growth. The +9.1% ROI on overs versus -18.2% on unders indicates the market hasn't fully adjusted to his rebounding development. However, the current one-game under streak reminds us that variance exists, and his rebounding can be game-script dependent. When Indiana faces elite rebounding teams or plays in slower-paced contests, the under becomes more viable. The key is recognizing that Mathurin's rebounding represents a skill that's trending upward rather than a statistical anomaly.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Mathurin's consistent 5.0 average against the 4.36 line, combined with a 57.1% over rate and positive ROI, suggests the market is undervaluing his rebounding ability. Target overs in uptempo games or when Indiana faces teams that allow guard rebounds. The main risk is game script in blowouts where his minutes could be limited.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 14 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 5.5 | 8.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-28 | OPP | 5.5 | 4.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-26 | OPP | 4.5 | 9.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 4.5 | 11.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-07 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-21 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-19 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-14 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-12 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-06 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-04 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-30 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-25 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Bennedict Mathurin's Rebounds prop record all games?
Mathurin's rebounding props show an 8-6 over/under record (57.1% overs) across 14 games this season. He's averaging 5.0 rebounds per game against a typical line of 4.36, creating a positive +0.6 differential for over bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Bennedict Mathurin Rebounds all games?
Lean over on Mathurin's rebounding props. His 5.0 average beats the 4.36 line consistently, with overs producing +9.1% ROI compared to -18.2% on unders. The 57.1% over rate shows sustainable value rather than variance.
What's Bennedict Mathurin's average Rebounds all games?
Mathurin averages 5.0 rebounds per game this season, which sits 0.6 rebounds above the typical 4.36 line. This differential has translated to profitable over betting with an 8-6 record and positive ROI for over backers.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Mathurin rebounding overs in fast-paced games where the Pacers face teams that allow guard rebounds. Avoid in potential blowouts where his minutes might be limited, and be cautious against elite rebounding teams that limit second chances.