Ben Simmons rebounds props show a slight over edge with a 53.8% hit rate (7-6-0) across 13 games. His 7.69 average exceeds the typical 7.12 line by 0.6 rebounds, generating modest 2.8% ROI on overs. This represents a lean over opportunity with limited sample size concerns.
Expert Analysis
Ben Simmons rebounds production reflects his natural rebounding instincts despite reduced offensive responsibilities in Brooklyn. His 7.69 average against a 7.12 line creates consistent value, though the 53.8% over rate suggests books are reasonably efficient at setting his number. The positive 0.6 differential indicates Simmons regularly exceeds expectations, likely due to his 6'10" frame and court vision allowing him to anticipate rebounds better than guards. However, the modest 2.8% ROI on overs warns against overconfidence. Simmons rebounds performance appears sustainable given his role as a facilitator who stays involved in possessions and his natural size advantage in smaller lineups. The lack of extreme streaks (longest over and under both at 4 games) suggests steady production rather than volatile swings. Brooklyn's pace and rebounding needs likely keep Simmons engaged on the glass consistently. The relatively balanced 7-6 record indicates this isn't a massive market inefficiency, but rather a slight edge that requires selective timing and proper bankroll management to exploit effectively.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 0.6 average differential above the line provides a legitimate mathematical edge, while Simmons' consistent role and physical advantages support the trend's sustainability. Target games where Brooklyn faces smaller lineups or faster-paced opponents to maximize rebounding opportunities. The main risk is the limited 13-game sample and modest ROI suggesting this edge could disappear with line adjustments.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 13 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-14 | OPP | 6.5 | 9.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-10 | OPP | 5.5 | 4.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-24 | OPP | 5.5 | 8.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 5.5 | 4.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-13 | OPP | 6.5 | 6.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 6.5 | 3.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 7.5 | 1.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-06 | OPP | 8.5 | 15.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-03 | OPP | 9.5 | 9.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-01 | OPP | 9.5 | 11.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-30 | OPP | 8.5 | 10.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-27 | OPP | 6.5 | 10.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-25 | OPP | 6.5 | 10.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Ben Simmons's Rebounds prop record all games?
Ben Simmons rebounds props show a 7-6-0 record all games, hitting overs 53.8% of the time across 13 games. His average of 7.69 rebounds consistently exceeds the typical 7.12 line by 0.6 rebounds per game.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Ben Simmons Rebounds all games?
Lean over on Ben Simmons rebounds all games. His 7.69 average beats the 7.12 line consistently, creating a 0.6 differential edge. The 53.8% over rate and positive ROI support selective over betting with proper bankroll management.
What's Ben Simmons's average Rebounds all games?
Ben Simmons averages 7.69 rebounds all games compared to the typical 7.12 line. This 0.6 differential above the betting line creates consistent value, though the modest edge requires careful game selection and bankroll discipline.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Ben Simmons rebounds overs when Brooklyn faces smaller lineups or plays at faster pace. His 6'10" frame creates natural advantages against guard-heavy opponents, while increased possessions boost rebounding opportunities for consistent value extraction.