Ayo Dosunmu's assists prop shows a clear edge toward overs with an 18-13 record (58.1% hit rate) and strong +0.86 average differential above the typical 4.08 line. The Bulls guard's expanded playmaking role has consistently exceeded market expectations, making overs the preferred play.
Expert Analysis
Ayo Dosunmu's assists prop presents a compelling case study in market inefficiency, with his 4.94 average significantly outpacing the standard 4.08 line across 31 games. The 58.1% over rate isn't just noise—it reflects Dosunmu's evolution into Chicago's primary backup facilitator and occasional starter when injuries strike. His +10.8% ROI on overs versus a brutal -19.9% on unders tells the story of books consistently undervaluing his playmaking impact. The Bulls' pace-heavy system under Billy Donovan creates natural assist opportunities, while Dosunmu's basketball IQ allows him to capitalize regardless of lineup configuration. What makes this trend particularly sustainable is Dosunmu's role flexibility—whether he's running second units or filling in alongside stars, his court vision translates to consistent assist production. The market appears anchored to his previous seasons' more limited role, failing to adjust for his increased responsibilities. While the recent one-game under streak might tempt contrarians, it's worth noting his longest under streak hit five games, suggesting temporary cold spells are part of the variance rather than trend-breaking events.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Dosunmu's 4.94 average against a 4.08 line creates sustainable value, supported by his expanded role in Chicago's system. Target games where he's likely to see 25+ minutes, particularly when the Bulls face pace-heavy opponents or deal with backcourt injuries. The main risk lies in potential role reduction if Chicago gets fully healthy, but his floor remains solid given the team's commitment to his development.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-11 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-02 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-23 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-23 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 5.5 | 10.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 5.5 | 9.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 5.5 | 3.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Ayo Dosunmu's Assists prop record all games?
Ayo Dosunmu's assists prop record stands at 18-13-0 over/under across 31 games, translating to a 58.1% over rate. His average of 4.94 assists significantly exceeds the typical 4.08 line, creating a positive +0.86 differential that has generated consistent value for over bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Ayo Dosunmu Assists all games?
Bet over on Ayo Dosunmu's assists props. His 58.1% over rate and +10.8% ROI on overs, combined with a significant +0.86 average differential above market lines, creates clear value. The Bulls guard's expanded role and the team's pace make overs the smart play.
What's Ayo Dosunmu's average Assists all games?
Ayo Dosunmu averages 4.94 assists per game across the sample, compared to the typical market line of 4.08. This +0.86 differential represents substantial value, as he's consistently exceeding expectations by nearly a full assist per game over 31 contests.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Ayo Dosunmu assists overs when he's projected for 25+ minutes, especially against pace-heavy opponents or when Chicago deals with backcourt injuries. His role flexibility and the Bulls' system create consistent opportunities, making most game situations favorable for over bets.