Austin Reaves has hit the blocks over in just 40% of his last 10 games (4-6-0 record), averaging 0.7 blocks against a 0.5 line. Despite the positive differential, the under has delivered a 14.6% ROI while overs show a concerning -23.6% loss rate. Lean under on Reaves blocks.
Expert Analysis
Austin Reaves's blocks production reveals a classic case where raw averages mask poor betting value. While his 0.7 average exceeds the typical 0.5 line by 0.2 blocks, the distribution heavily favors zero-block performances that crush over bettors. As a 6'5" guard playing primarily on the perimeter, Reaves lacks the rim protection responsibilities that generate consistent blocks for traditional big men or switching wings. His defensive role focuses on ball pressure and rotations rather than shot-blocking, making blocks an inconsistent byproduct rather than a core skill. The Lakers' defensive scheme typically positions Anthony Davis and other frontcourt players as primary rim protectors, limiting Reaves's opportunities for help-side blocks. The 60% under rate isn't just variance—it reflects the fundamental reality that guards averaging less than one block per game rarely provide sustainable over value. When Reaves does record multiple blocks, it's often due to gambling for steals that result in deflections or opportunistic help defense, making these performances difficult to predict and unlikely to cluster. The negative ROI on overs (-23.6%) suggests the market has been slow to adjust to this reality, creating persistent under value.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 60% under rate combined with positive ROI (+14.6%) indicates sustainable value betting against Reaves's blocks production. His perimeter-focused defensive role and the Lakers' scheme that prioritizes interior defenders for rim protection make consistent block production unlikely. Target this under when the line sits at 0.5, as zero-block games represent his most common outcome and provide the clearest path to victory.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Blocks Prop Lines
Compare Austin Reaves props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Austin Reaves's Blocks prop record last 10 games?
Austin Reaves has gone 4-6-0 on blocks overs in his last 10 games, hitting just 40% of over bets. He's averaging 0.7 blocks per game against typical 0.5 lines, but the distribution heavily favors zero-block performances that kill over tickets.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Austin Reaves Blocks last 10 games?
Bet under on Austin Reaves blocks props. The 60% under rate and positive 14.6% ROI on unders shows clear value, while overs have lost money at -23.6% ROI. His perimeter defensive role makes blocks inconsistent and unpredictable.
What's Austin Reaves's average Blocks last 10 games?
Austin Reaves is averaging 0.7 blocks over his last 10 games, which is 0.2 blocks above the typical 0.5 line. However, this average is misleading as most games feature zero blocks, making the under the more profitable long-term play.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Austin Reaves blocks unders when the line is set at 0.5, particularly in games where the Lakers face perimeter-oriented offenses. His role as a perimeter defender limits rim protection opportunities, making zero-block games his most common outcome.