Austin Reaves blocks props at home present a compelling under opportunity with just 23.5% overs across 17 games. His 0.29 average sits well below the typical 0.5 line, generating a robust 46.0% ROI on unders. The data strongly favors betting under on Reaves blocks in home games.
Expert Analysis
Austin Reaves's defensive positioning and role create a systematic under edge on blocks props at home. As a 6'5" guard who primarily defends perimeter players, Reaves rarely finds himself in shot-blocking situations that generate blocks. His defensive assignments typically involve chasing shooters through screens and defending in space rather than protecting the rim. The Lakers' defensive scheme further limits his block opportunities, as Anthony Davis and other frontcourt players handle interior defense while Reaves focuses on perimeter containment. Home games don't alter this fundamental reality - Reaves averaged just 0.29 blocks per home game against a standard 0.5 line, creating a significant -0.2 differential. The 23.5% over rate across 17 home games demonstrates remarkable consistency, with his current three-game under streak and longest five-game under streak highlighting how rarely he exceeds expectations. Guard blocks are inherently volatile and matchup-dependent, but Reaves's role and physical limitations make this one of the more predictable under trends in the market. The sample size provides confidence, and nothing in his defensive responsibilities suggests this pattern will reverse.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Austin Reaves blocks under at home offers exceptional value with a 46.0% ROI and 76.5% hit rate over 17 games. His perimeter-focused defensive role and 0.29 average create a structural edge against the 0.5 line. Target this prop when the line sits at 0.5, though be cautious if books adjust to 0.5 under juice or lower numbers that reduce the edge.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Austin Reaves's Blocks prop record home games?
Austin Reaves has gone 4-13 over/under on blocks props in home games, hitting the over just 23.5% of the time across 17 games. This represents one of the most consistent under trends for guard blocks props this season.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Austin Reaves Blocks home games?
Bet under on Austin Reaves blocks at home games. The 76.5% under hit rate and 46.0% ROI provide a clear statistical edge, supported by his perimeter defensive role that limits block opportunities consistently.
What's Austin Reaves's average Blocks home games?
Austin Reaves averages 0.29 blocks per home game, sitting 0.2 blocks below the typical 0.5 line. This significant differential creates the foundation for the strong under performance and betting value.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Austin Reaves blocks unders when the line is set at 0.5 in home games. Avoid if books adjust to 0.5 under heavy juice or lower numbers, as this reduces the mathematical edge significantly.