Anthony Edwards blocks props on one day rest present a clear under opportunity, hitting just 42.1% overs across 38 games with a brutal -19.6% ROI for over bettors. His 0.55 average barely exceeds the typical 0.5 line, creating consistent value on the under side.
Expert Analysis
The blocks market consistently overestimates Edwards' defensive impact on standard rest, and the numbers reveal why this edge persists. As a shooting guard primarily focused on offensive creation, Edwards averages just 0.55 blocks per game on one day rest—barely above the standard 0.5 line that books typically set. This marginal edge compounds over time, as blocks are inherently volatile for perimeter players who don't consistently challenge shots at the rim. The 16-22 under record reflects the market's tendency to price Edwards' athleticism and defensive potential rather than his actual statistical output in this category. His role as Minnesota's primary offensive initiator means his defensive positioning often prioritizes help defense and transition opportunities over aggressive shot-blocking. The -19.6% ROI on overs demonstrates how consistently the market misprices this prop, while the +10.5% under ROI shows sustainable profit potential. The longest under streak of 8 games highlights how Edwards can go extended periods without recording blocks, particularly when facing smaller lineups or when Minnesota's defensive scheme emphasizes switching rather than rim protection. This isn't a player whose blocks production varies dramatically with rest—it's simply a case of consistent market inefficiency.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 57.9% under rate combined with positive ROI creates a sustainable edge, though the small 0.05 average differential limits conviction. Target this prop when Edwards faces guard-heavy lineups or when Minnesota plays uptempo games where defensive positioning favors steals over blocks. Main risk is random variance in a low-volume stat category.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Anthony Edwards's Blocks prop record 1 day rest?
Edwards goes 16-22 on blocks overs with one day rest, hitting just 42.1% over a 38-game sample from November 2023 to April 2024, showing consistent under value.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Anthony Edwards Blocks 1 day rest?
Bet under on Edwards blocks props with one day rest. The 57.9% under rate and +10.5% ROI demonstrate clear market inefficiency favoring under bettors.
What's Anthony Edwards's average Blocks 1 day rest?
Edwards averages 0.55 blocks on one day rest compared to the typical 0.5 line, creating just a +0.1 differential that barely favors overs despite the poor hit rate.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Edwards blocks unders when facing smaller lineups or in uptempo games where his defensive role emphasizes transition over rim protection, maximizing the statistical edge.