Anthony Edwards blocks props present a clear under opportunity with just 40.7% overs hitting across 59 games. The guard averages 0.51 blocks against a typical 0.5 line, but the -22.3% over ROI versus +13.2% under ROI reveals consistent market overvaluation. Lean under with medium confidence.
Expert Analysis
The blocks market consistently overestimates Edwards' defensive impact, creating sustainable value on the under. As a perimeter-oriented guard who prioritizes offensive responsibilities, Edwards rarely commits to the help defense necessary for consistent shot-blocking. His 0.51 average sits barely above the standard 0.5 line, but the 40.7% over rate indicates this minimal edge doesn't translate to betting success. The stark ROI differential (-22.3% over vs +13.2% under) suggests systematic market inefficiency rather than random variance. Edwards' defensive positioning focuses on on-ball pressure and transition opportunities rather than rim protection, making blocks an inconsistent statistical category. The longest under streak of 10 games demonstrates how extended periods without blocks are common for perimeter players. While Edwards possesses the athleticism for occasional highlight blocks, his role within Minnesota's defensive scheme doesn't emphasize help-side rotations that generate consistent blocking opportunities. The market appears to price in his athletic upside while ignoring positional limitations that make blocks a low-frequency event.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 13.2% under ROI combined with Edwards' perimeter-focused defensive role creates consistent value betting against his blocks props. Target games where Minnesota faces teams with strong interior presence, forcing Edwards to stay attached to his man rather than help defensively. Main risk is occasional high-block games skewing short-term results, but the underlying role limitations support long-term under value.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Anthony Edwards's Blocks prop record all games?
Edwards has gone under his blocks prop in 35 of 59 games (59.3% under rate) with an average of 0.51 blocks against typical 0.5 lines. The 24-35-0 over-under record shows consistent market overvaluation of his shot-blocking ability.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Anthony Edwards Blocks all games?
Bet under on Edwards blocks props. The 13.2% under ROI versus -22.3% over ROI across 59 games creates clear value. His perimeter role limits consistent blocking opportunities despite his athletic tools.
What's Anthony Edwards's average Blocks all games?
Edwards averages 0.51 blocks per game, just 0.01 above the standard 0.5 line. This minimal differential combined with the 40.7% over rate shows the market slightly overvalues his blocking frequency relative to actual production.
How reliable is this trend?
Target under bets when Minnesota faces teams with strong interior scorers, forcing Edwards to stay attached to perimeter assignments. Avoid games against small-ball lineups where he might see more help-side opportunities.