Anfernee Simons shows modest over-trending on three-pointers made in away games, hitting the over 53.8% of the time with a 14-12 record. While the 3.31 average sits slightly below typical 3.38 lines, the positive 2.8% ROI on overs suggests exploitable value in the right spots.
Expert Analysis
Simons's away three-point performance reveals a subtle but potentially exploitable edge that contradicts conventional road shooting wisdom. The 53.8% over rate across 26 games represents meaningful sample size, particularly when considering most shooters struggle with consistency on the road. The key insight lies in the ROI disparity - while overs generate a modest 2.8% return, unders crater at -11.9%, suggesting the market consistently undervalues Simons's road shooting ability. His 3.31 average trailing the typical 3.38 line by just 0.07 makes creates a tight margin, but this slight underperformance appears already baked into pricing. The one-game under streak following a five-game over run indicates natural variance rather than systematic decline. Road environments often benefit volume shooters like Simons, as Portland's offensive burden increases when facing hostile crowds and tighter rotations. The absence of pronounced home/road splits in his overall numbers suggests his shooting mechanics remain consistent regardless of venue, making him less susceptible to the psychological factors that derail other road shooters.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 53.8% hit rate combined with positive ROI creates a sustainable edge, particularly when lines sit at 3.5 or lower. Target games where Portland faces pace-up opponents or plays in shooter-friendly venues. The primary risk remains Simons's inconsistent role in blowouts, where fourth-quarter garbage time could limit attempts rather than boost them.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-10 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-07 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-05 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-02-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-12 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-10 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-21 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Anfernee Simons's 3-Pointers Made prop record away games?
Anfernee Simons has hit the over on three-pointers made in 14 of 26 away games (53.8%), averaging 3.31 makes per road contest. His away three-point props show a 14-12-0 over/under record with modest but consistent over-trending.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Anfernee Simons 3-Pointers Made away games?
Lean over on Simons's three-pointers made in away games, particularly when lines sit at 3.5 or lower. The 53.8% hit rate and positive ROI create value, though avoid games with significant spread concerns.
What's Anfernee Simons's average 3-Pointers Made away games?
Simons averages 3.31 three-pointers made in away games, sitting 0.07 below the typical 3.38 line. This slight underperformance appears already factored into current market pricing, creating potential over value at standard numbers.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Simons three-point overs in away games against pace-up opponents or in shooter-friendly venues. Avoid games with large spreads where Portland might rest starters or face extended garbage time situations.