Anfernee Simons presents one of the most reliable under opportunities in the NBA blocks market, hitting just 8.3% overs on the road with a devastating -0.4 differential from the standard 0.5 line. The Trail Blazers guard is averaging 0.08 blocks per away game, making the under a premium play.
Expert Analysis
Anfernee Simons's blocks production away from Portland represents a fundamental mismatch between market expectations and basketball reality. At 6'3" and playing primarily point guard, Simons lacks the physical tools and positional requirements to generate consistent blocks, especially in hostile road environments where his focus shifts to offensive creation and ball-handling responsibilities. The 0.08 blocks per game average isn't an anomaly—it reflects his role as a perimeter-oriented scorer who rarely ventures into shot-blocking situations. Road games amplify this trend as opposing teams attack Portland's defensive weaknesses, forcing Simons to prioritize help defense and rotations over aggressive rim protection attempts. The six-game under streak demonstrates remarkable consistency, suggesting this isn't variance but rather a structural advantage. Portland's defensive scheme typically positions Simons on the perimeter, where blocks are scarce commodities. The -84.1% ROI on overs tells the complete story: books continue setting the line at 0.5 despite overwhelming evidence that Simons rarely reaches that threshold away from home. This creates a systematic edge that shows no signs of regression, as Simons's physical limitations and role haven't changed.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Simons's 8.3% over rate on the road creates an exceptional edge that reflects his limited shot-blocking ability and perimeter-focused role. The ideal conditions are any Portland away game where the line sits at 0.5 blocks. The main risk is a potential adjustment in defensive scheme or an unusually aggressive performance, but his physical limitations make this unlikely to sustain.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 12 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Anfernee Simons's Blocks prop record away games?
Anfernee Simons holds a dismal 1-11-0 record on blocks overs in away games, hitting just 8.3% of overs with a -84.1% ROI. He's averaging only 0.08 blocks per road game against the typical 0.5 line.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Anfernee Simons Blocks away games?
Bet the under on Anfernee Simons blocks in away games with high confidence. His 8.3% over rate and -0.4 differential from the line create one of the most reliable edges in NBA props betting.
What's Anfernee Simons's average Blocks away games?
Anfernee Simons averages 0.08 blocks per away game, falling a massive 0.4 short of the standard 0.5 line. This differential represents one of the largest gaps between production and market expectation.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Anfernee Simons blocks unders during any Portland road game where the line is set at 0.5. His perimeter role and physical limitations make this edge consistent regardless of opponent or game situation.