Anfernee Simons blocks props present one of the most reliable under opportunities in the NBA, hitting just 6.7% overs across 30 games with a devastating -87.3% ROI on overs. Simons averages 0.07 blocks against a 0.5 line, creating a massive -0.4 differential that screams systematic undervaluation by oddsmakers.
Expert Analysis
Anfernee Simons blocks under represents a textbook case of positional role clarity trumping wishful thinking from sportsbooks. As Portland's primary offensive engine, Simons operates almost exclusively on the perimeter, averaging just 0.07 blocks per game while shouldering enormous scoring and playmaking responsibilities. The 6.7% over rate across 30 games isn't an aberration—it's a mathematical certainty given his defensive positioning and usage patterns. Guards his size (6'3") rarely impact shot-blocking metrics, and Simons particularly avoids interior contact to preserve his offensive energy and avoid foul trouble. The -0.4 differential between his average and the 0.5 line reveals systematic market inefficiency, likely driven by casual bettors who see blocks props as coin flips rather than position-specific statistical outcomes. His longest under streak of 15 games demonstrates the consistency of this trend, while the longest over streak of just 1 game highlights how rare positive outcomes truly are. The 78.2% ROI on unders over this sample suggests the market hasn't corrected despite overwhelming evidence. This isn't a hot streak or temporary variance—it's fundamental basketball reality meeting persistent market mispricing.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Anfernee Simons blocks under at 0.5 represents elite value with 93.3% historical success rate and nearly 80% ROI. The massive sample size and role-based reasoning suggest this edge persists regardless of matchup or game script. Primary risk involves potential line movement to 0.5 alternate markets, but current pricing remains exploitable across most books.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Anfernee Simons's Blocks prop record all games?
Anfernee Simons blocks props show a 2-28-0 over/under record across all games, hitting just 6.7% overs. This represents one of the most lopsided prop trends in the NBA with consistent under performance.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Anfernee Simons Blocks all games?
Bet UNDER on Anfernee Simons blocks props with high confidence. The 93.3% success rate and 78.2% ROI over 30 games creates exceptional value, supported by his perimeter-focused defensive role.
What's Anfernee Simons's average Blocks all games?
Anfernee Simons averages 0.07 blocks per game compared to the standard 0.5 line, creating a massive -0.4 differential. This gap reflects his perimeter positioning and offensive-focused role limiting interior defensive impact.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Anfernee Simons blocks unders consistently regardless of matchup. The trend shows remarkable stability across all game situations, with his positional role and energy allocation creating reliable under conditions nightly.