The under has been the play for Andrew Tagovailoa on Points props all games. In 178 games, he's gone OVER just 39.0% of the time, averaging 18.47 against a 18.71 line. That's -0.24 below the number—sharp bettors have been fading this prop.

The Numbers: 69-108-1 O/U

39.0% Over Rate
18.47 Avg PTS
18.71 Avg Line
-0.2 Avg vs Line
-25.6% Over ROI
178 Games
OVER 39.0%
UNDER 61.0%
⚠️ Verdict: Lean Under

Performance vs Line

Line shows prop line, bars show actual performance. Green = Over, Red = Under.

Game Log (Last 0 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result

Showing most recent games. View full game log →

Situational Splits

Home vs Away

Home 39.1% Over (34-53)
Away 38.9% Over (35-55)

By Line Range

Line ≤ 18.0 51.2% Over
Line > 18.0 28.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 20.0% Over (1-4)
Last 10 30.0% Over (3-7)

Why This Trend Exists

Analysis coming soon. This trend shows interesting patterns worth monitoring.

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📉 The Data Says: UNDER on Andrew Tagovailoa Points

The UNDER has returned +16.5% ROI in this spot. Shop for the best number.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Andrew Tagovailoa's Points prop record all games?

Andrew Tagovailoa has gone OVER on points props in 69 of 178 games (39.0%) all games. The full O/U record is 69-108-1.

Should I bet the OVER or UNDER on Andrew Tagovailoa Points?

Based on historical data, the UNDER has been more profitable. The OVER has returned -25.6% ROI while the UNDER has returned +16.5% ROI in this spot.

What's Andrew Tagovailoa's average Points all games?

Andrew Tagovailoa averages 18.47 points all games, compared to an average prop line of 18.71. That's a differential of -0.2 vs the number.

How reliable is this Points trend for Andrew Tagovailoa?

This trend is based on 178 games. With 20+ games, this is a reliable sample size. The data spans from 2020-10-03 to 2025-06-26.

Methodology

This analysis covers 178 games from 2020-10-03 to 2025-06-26. Over/Under results are calculated using closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice on all bets. Pushes are excluded from percentage calculations.

Last Updated: February 04, 2026