Andrew Nembhard's three-pointer production surges dramatically in away environments, hitting the over at a 68.8% clip with an 11-5-0 record. His 1.06 average significantly outpaces the typical 0.62 line, creating a consistent +0.4 edge. This represents a strong lean over opportunity with proven sustainability.
Expert Analysis
Nembhard's away three-point explosion reflects the modern guard's adaptation to hostile environments, where increased usage and rhythm shooting opportunities emerge from Indiana's adjusted offensive schemes. The 1.06 average versus 0.62 line reveals books haven't properly adjusted to his road persona, creating persistent value. This 70% differential suggests Nembhard benefits from the Pacers' away game flow, likely seeing more catch-and-shoot opportunities as defenses focus on stopping Indiana's primary scorers. The +31.2% ROI over 16 games demonstrates remarkable consistency, with his longest over streak reaching six games compared to just one under. The trend's persistence across nearly a full season indicates structural factors rather than random variance. Nembhard's role as a complementary shooter means away games provide cleaner looks when opponents key on Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam. However, the sample size, while solid, still leaves room for regression. The complete absence of split data limits deeper contextual analysis, and books may eventually adjust lines upward if this pattern continues.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Nembhard's 68.8% over rate and +0.4 average differential create compelling value, particularly when books continue setting lines around 0.5-1.0. Target games where Indiana faces defensively focused opponents who will prioritize stopping primary scorers, creating cleaner looks for Nembhard. The main risk is line adjustment and potential regression to career norms, but the structural advantages in away environments support continued production above market expectations.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 3.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best 3-Pointers Made Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Andrew Nembhard's 3-Pointers Made prop record away games?
Andrew Nembhard's three-pointers made prop shows an 11-5-0 over/under record in away games, hitting the over 68.8% of the time. This translates to a +31.2% ROI on over bets across 16 road contests, demonstrating consistent profitability.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Andrew Nembhard 3-Pointers Made away games?
Bet the over on Andrew Nembhard's three-pointers made in away games. His 68.8% over rate and 1.06 average versus typical 0.62 lines create a sustainable edge. Focus on games where books set conservative numbers around 0.5-1.0.
What's Andrew Nembhard's average 3-Pointers Made away games?
Andrew Nembhard averages 1.06 three-pointers made in away games, significantly exceeding the typical 0.62 line. This +0.4 differential represents a 70% increase over market expectations, indicating books undervalue his road three-point production consistently.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Andrew Nembhard three-pointer props in away games against defensively-minded opponents who focus on stopping Indiana's stars. Look for lines set at 0.5-1.0 where books haven't adjusted for his elevated road shooting, maximizing the value differential.