Phoenix Suns vs Division Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Phoenix Suns in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs division opponent, the Phoenix Suns are just 23-26-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -10.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +10.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2016 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2017 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2018 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2019 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2020 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2021 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2024 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Suns' underwhelming performance against division opponents stems from the unique psychological and strategic dynamics that define NFC West rivalries. Phoenix has historically struggled with the emotional weight of these matchups, where familiarity breeds both contempt and predictability. Division games carry heightened intensity that can disrupt the Suns' preferred up-tempo offensive rhythm, as opponents know their tendencies intimately and deploy more aggressive defensive schemes specifically tailored to neutralize their strengths. The franchise's recent roster volatility has exacerbated these issues, as new players need time to adapt to the specific chess matches that division rivalries present. Teams like the Lakers, Clippers, Kings, and Warriors have maintained more consistent core groups, giving them strategic advantages in these familiar battles. The Suns often find themselves in tight, grind-it-out affairs that favor more experienced, defensively-minded opponents who understand how to slow down Phoenix's transition game. The recent uptick in form suggests this trend may be evolving, particularly with the team's improved defensive identity. Smart bettors should focus on the Suns' division matchups early in the season when roster chemistry is still developing, as these games historically present the most value against Phoenix before they find their divisional rhythm.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Phoenix Suns's ATS record as vs division opponent?
The Phoenix Suns have a 23-26-0 ATS record when playing against division opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 46.9% ATS win rate over 49 total games.
Is betting on the Phoenix Suns as vs division opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Phoenix Suns against division opponents has not been profitable, showing a -10.4% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Suns in divisional matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Suns' 46.9% ATS win rate against division opponents is below the typical 50% league average expected for balanced betting markets. Their performance suggests they consistently fail to cover spreads in divisional games.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.