The public often underestimates the Phoenix Suns in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the Phoenix Suns hold a record of 27-16-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +19.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $9 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record27-16-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size43 games
ROI+19.9%
Units Won+8.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-2-00.0%-36.4%
20152-2-00.0%-4.5%
20160-1-00.0%-100.0%
20172-3-00.0%-23.6%
20181-1-00.0%-4.5%
20192-2-00.0%-4.5%
20204-1-00.0%+52.7%
20215-3-00.0%+19.3%
20223-0-00.0%+90.9%
20233-0-00.0%+90.9%
20244-1-00.0%+52.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Suns' exceptional performance as small underdogs stems from their psychological makeup and roster construction that thrives when slightly disrespected. Phoenix has consistently built teams around elite playmakers like Chris Paul and Devin Booker who elevate their games when facing minimal point spreads that suggest a coin-flip contest. These narrow underdog scenarios often occur against quality opponents on the road or during back-to-back situations where the market slightly favors the opposition despite Phoenix's talent advantage. The franchise's culture under recent leadership emphasizes preparation and execution in tight games, which translates perfectly to small underdog spots where every possession matters. Phoenix's veteran leadership and high basketball IQ allow them to exploit the subtle edges that exist when oddsmakers view games as essentially even. The team's strong three-point shooting and defensive switching ability create advantages that aren't always reflected in modest point spreads. Bettors should target Phoenix as small underdogs specifically when they're playing quality opponents where the line suggests competitive balance rather than clear inferiority. This trend holds maximum value during playoff races when every game carries heightened importance and the Suns' championship experience provides intangible advantages that betting markets consistently undervalue.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Phoenix Suns's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?

The Phoenix Suns have a 27-16-0 ATS record as small underdogs (+1 to +3) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 62.8% ATS win rate in these situations.

Is betting on the Phoenix Suns as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Phoenix Suns as small underdogs (+1 to +3) has been profitable with a 19.9% ROI. Their 62.8% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the breakeven point needed for profitability.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is well above league average, as teams typically need around 52.4% ATS to break even. The Suns' 62.8% win rate as small underdogs represents exceptional value in this betting situation.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.