Phoenix Suns Medium Underdog (+3.5 to +7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Phoenix Suns in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Phoenix Suns hold a record of 37-25-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +13.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $9 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 5-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2017 | 6-2-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2018 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 4-6-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2020 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 5-4-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2022 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2024 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Suns' success as medium underdogs stems from their franchise's historical identity as a scrappy, well-coached organization that thrives when expectations are lowered. Phoenix has consistently fielded teams that play with heightened intensity when facing quality opponents at home or in neutral situations where they're not expected to compete. This sweet spot of being underdogs but not overwhelming longshots allows the Suns to maintain competitive lineups while benefiting from inflated spreads. Phoenix's coaching philosophy under various regimes has emphasized ball movement, three-point shooting, and pace control - all factors that help keep games closer than oddsmakers anticipate. When facing superior opponents, the Suns often implement more disciplined defensive schemes and rely on their home crowd energy at Footprint Center to create additional possessions through turnovers and offensive rebounds. The psychological element cannot be understated. Medium underdog status removes pressure while maintaining respect, allowing Phoenix players to perform freely without the burden of heavy favorite expectations. Their veterans typically respond well to these motivated spots against quality competition. This trend holds the most value when Phoenix faces playoff-caliber teams at home or in nationally televised games where their role players historically elevate their performance.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Phoenix Suns's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?
The Phoenix Suns have a 37-25-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 59.7% ATS win rate over 62 games in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Phoenix Suns as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Phoenix Suns as medium underdogs has been profitable with a 13.9% ROI. Their 59.7% ATS win rate in this spot significantly exceeds the break-even threshold needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well above league average, as teams typically need around 52.4% ATS win rate to break even. The Suns' 59.7% win rate and 13.9% ROI in medium underdog situations represents strong value compared to typical NFL betting expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.