The public often underestimates the Phoenix Suns in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite on zero rest, the Phoenix Suns hold a record of 6-4-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +14.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $1 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record6-4-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size10 games
ROI+14.6%
Units Won+1.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-1-00.0%-100.0%
20153-0-00.0%+90.9%
20180-2-00.0%-100.0%
20201-0-00.0%+90.9%
20210-1-00.0%-100.0%
20232-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Suns' solid performance as home favorites on zero rest stems from their historically aggressive pace and conditioning advantages that become magnified in back-to-back scenarios. Phoenix has consistently ranked among the league's fastest teams in possessions per game, and this uptempo style tends to wear down visiting opponents who are also dealing with travel fatigue. When the Suns are favored at home in these spots, it typically means they're facing a team perceived as weaker, creating a perfect storm where Phoenix's pace can overwhelm tired legs. The psychological element plays a crucial role here as well. Home favorites on zero rest often face the temptation to coast, but the Suns' organizational culture under multiple coaching regimes has emphasized pushing tempo regardless of fatigue levels. This approach forces opponents into uncomfortable possessions and creates more opportunities for Phoenix to cover spreads through volume rather than efficiency. The desert climate and altitude in Phoenix also provides a subtle home court advantage that becomes more pronounced when visiting teams are dealing with quick turnarounds. Opposing players often struggle with hydration and energy management in back-to-back situations at elevation. This trend carries the most weight when Phoenix faces Eastern Conference teams on the second night of road back-to-backs, where travel fatigue compounds the environmental factors.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Phoenix Suns's ATS record as home favorite on zero rest?

The Phoenix Suns have a 6-4-0 ATS record as home favorites on zero rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 60% ATS win rate over 10 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Phoenix Suns as home favorite on zero rest profitable?

Yes, betting on the Phoenix Suns as home favorites on zero rest has been profitable with a 14.6% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the positive ROI, the sample size is relatively small at just 10 games.

How does this compare to the league average?

This trend shows strong performance compared to typical home favorite situations, though a direct league average comparison requires additional data. The 60% ATS rate and positive ROI suggest the Suns have historically performed well in this specific scenario.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.