Phoenix Suns Home Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Phoenix Suns in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite, the Phoenix Suns are just 55-58-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.1%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-8-0 | 0.0% | -78.8% |
| 2015 | 10-6-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2016 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2017 | 9-3-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2018 | 5-6-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2019 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2020 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 3-6-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2023 | 5-4-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2024 | 5-9-0 | 0.0% | -31.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Suns' struggles as home favorites stem from a combination of organizational instability and the psychological burden of elevated expectations. Phoenix has cycled through multiple coaching changes and roster overhauls during this period, creating an environment where players often lack the chemistry and system familiarity needed to consistently cover spreads when the public expects them to dominate. The franchise's extended playoff drought fostered a culture where young players weren't accustomed to handling the pressure that comes with being favored, particularly at home where fan expectations run highest. Phoenix's fast-paced offensive system, while entertaining, has historically been prone to inconsistency against disciplined defensive teams. When oddsmakers set the Suns as favorites, they're often pricing in their explosive offensive potential, but the team's defensive lapses and tendency toward streaky shooting create volatility that rarely aligns with the betting market's expectations. The Suns have frequently been a "live dog" team that performs better when doubted rather than when carrying the weight of favoritism. Smart bettors should be particularly wary of backing Phoenix as substantial home favorites against well-coached opponents with strong defensive identities, especially in nationally televised games where the spotlight intensifies performance pressure.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Phoenix Suns's ATS record as home favorite?
The Phoenix Suns have a 55-58-0 ATS record as home favorites from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.7% ATS win rate over 113 games.
Is betting on the Phoenix Suns as home favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Phoenix Suns as home favorites has not been profitable, showing a -7.1% ROI over the past decade. Bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Suns in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Suns' 48.7% ATS win rate as home favorites is below the typical league average of around 50%. Their performance in this spot has been consistently disappointing for bettors.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.