Phoenix Suns Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Phoenix Suns in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Phoenix Suns hold a record of 38-19-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +27.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $16 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2015 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2016 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2017 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2019 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2020 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2022 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2023 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Suns' exceptional performance as home underdogs following wins stems from a potent combination of psychological momentum and market inefficiency. When Phoenix enters their home court as an underdog after securing a victory, they're typically facing a perceived superior opponent while riding the confidence boost of recent success. This creates a perfect storm where the team maintains positive energy while oddsmakers potentially undervalue their capabilities based on opponent strength rather than current form and home court dynamics. Phoenix's roster construction under recent iterations has emphasized veteran leadership and clutch performance, characteristics that become amplified in these undervalued spots. The team historically thrives when expectations are tempered, as players tend to elevate their intensity against supposedly better competition. The home crowd at Footprint Center feeds off these David-versus-Goliath scenarios, creating an atmosphere that can swing close games in Phoenix's favor. Smart bettors should target this spot when the Suns are catching points of three or fewer against quality opponents, particularly when the previous win came against a respectable team rather than a rebuilding squad. This trend carries maximum weight during the regular season when teams are still establishing hierarchy and Phoenix can catch opponents overlooking their home court advantage.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Phoenix Suns's ATS record as home underdog after a win?
The Phoenix Suns have an outstanding 38-19-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 66.7% ATS win rate over 57 games.
Is betting on the Phoenix Suns as home underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Phoenix Suns as home underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 27.3% ROI. This represents excellent long-term value for bettors over the 10-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 66.7% ATS rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for similar situations. The 27.3% ROI indicates this trend has been one of the more profitable betting angles in the NBA.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.