The data suggests caution when backing the Phoenix Suns in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as second game of back-to-back, the Phoenix Suns are just 28-31-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -9.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +9.4%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record28-31-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size59 games
ROI-9.4%
Units Won-5.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-4-00.0%-36.4%
20154-3-00.0%+9.1%
20162-1-00.0%+27.3%
20173-4-00.0%-18.2%
20181-5-00.0%-68.2%
20193-3-00.0%-4.5%
20206-1-00.0%+63.6%
20213-6-00.0%-36.4%
20221-0-00.0%+90.9%
20232-2-00.0%-4.5%
20241-2-00.0%-36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Suns' struggles in second games of back-to-backs stem from their historically thin rotation and reliance on aging veteran stars. Phoenix has consistently built rosters around older core players like Chris Paul, Kevin Durant, and previously Steve Nash, who naturally experience more fatigue on consecutive nights. The team's coaching philosophy under various regimes has emphasized heavy minutes for star players rather than developing deep bench depth, creating a compounding effect when legs get tired. Phoenix's desert climate actually works against them in this scenario. While their home venue provides advantages in single games, players often struggle with dehydration and recovery when facing the quick turnaround of back-to-backs. The franchise has also shown a pattern of prioritizing offensive firepower over defensive depth, meaning their energy-dependent defensive schemes break down more readily on tired legs. The psychological component cannot be ignored either. This organization has historically carried pressure to maximize regular season performance given their competitive windows, leading to overthinking and pressing when execution becomes more difficult on short rest. Bettors should target fading Phoenix in back-to-back situations when they're road favorites or laying significant points, as the combination of travel fatigue and inflated lines creates optimal value opportunities.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Phoenix Suns's ATS record as second game of back-to-back?

The Phoenix Suns have a 28-31-0 ATS record in the second game of back-to-back situations from 2014-2024. This translates to a 47.5% ATS win rate over 59 games.

Is betting on the Phoenix Suns as second game of back-to-back profitable?

No, betting on the Phoenix Suns in the second game of back-to-backs is not profitable. The strategy shows a negative -9.4% ROI with a 47.5% ATS win rate over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Suns' 47.5% ATS win rate in back-to-back second games is slightly below the typical 50% baseline expected for ATS betting. Their -9.4% ROI indicates underperformance compared to break-even expectations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.