The data suggests caution when backing the Phoenix Suns in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Phoenix Suns are just 18-36-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -36.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +36.4%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record18-36-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size54 games
ROI-36.4%
Units Won-19.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-4-00.0%-36.4%
20152-2-00.0%-4.5%
20164-6-00.0%-23.6%
20171-3-00.0%-52.3%
20181-5-00.0%-68.2%
20194-1-00.0%+52.7%
20201-0-00.0%+90.9%
20210-4-00.0%-100.0%
20222-1-00.0%+27.3%
20230-7-00.0%-100.0%
20241-3-00.0%-52.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Phoenix Suns' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a combination of psychological fragility and tactical predictability that opposing teams have learned to exploit. When the Suns lose at home or on the road, they often carry emotional baggage into their next contest, particularly problematic when the betting market still views them as favorites away from home. This creates a dangerous disconnect between public perception and actual team readiness. Phoenix has historically relied heavily on their core players' individual brilliance rather than systematic adjustments after setbacks. When facing motivated home underdogs who've had time to study film from the Suns' previous loss, this approach becomes exploitable. The team's tendency to play down to competition level is amplified on the road, where crowd energy and familiar routines are absent. Additionally, the Suns often struggle with defensive intensity in these spots, allowing inferior opponents to stay competitive longer than the spread suggests. Smart bettors should consistently fade Phoenix in this specific scenario, particularly when the line feels generous relative to the opponent's recent home form. This trend carries the most weight when the Suns are facing teams with strong home court advantages or clubs playing with desperation due to playoff positioning.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Phoenix Suns's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The Phoenix Suns have an 18-36-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 33.3% ATS win rate over 54 games.

Is betting on the Phoenix Suns as away favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Phoenix Suns as away favorites after a loss is not profitable. The -36.4% ROI indicates significant losses for bettors backing this trend.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is well below the typical 50% expectation for ATS betting. The 33.3% win rate suggests the Suns consistently struggle to cover spreads in this specific situation.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.