The data suggests caution when backing the Philadelphia 76ers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the Philadelphia 76ers are just 17-20-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -12.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +12.3%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record17-20-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size38 games
ROI-12.3%
Units Won-4.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-2-00.0%+14.6%
20151-4-00.0%-61.8%
20161-1-00.0%-4.5%
20171-0-00.0%+90.9%
20180-2-00.0%-100.0%
20192-3-00.0%-23.6%
20201-2-00.0%-36.4%
20210-2-00.0%-100.0%
20222-1-10.0%+27.3%
20233-1-00.0%+43.2%
20243-2-00.0%+14.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The 76ers' struggles as small underdogs stem from their organizational culture of championship-or-bust expectations that create psychological pressure in close games. When Philadelphia enters as a slight underdog, the team often presses to prove they belong among elite competition, leading to forced shots and defensive breakdowns that prevent them from covering tight spreads. This franchise has historically built rosters around dominant big men like Joel Embiid, creating a style that thrives when they can impose their will but falters when games require nuanced execution. Small underdog situations typically indicate evenly matched opponents where Philadelphia's tendency toward hero ball and over-reliance on individual talent becomes problematic against disciplined defensive schemes. The team's inconsistent three-point shooting amplifies this issue, as small spreads demand efficient offense to stay within the number. When the 76ers' role players struggle from deep, their star-heavy approach becomes predictable and easier to contain for well-prepared opponents who've had time to game-plan specifically for stopping Embiid and their primary scorers. Bettors should target Philadelphia as small underdogs specifically in road games against defensively sound teams with multiple wing defenders, where their offensive limitations become most exposed.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Philadelphia 76ers's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?

The Philadelphia 76ers have gone 17-20-1 against the spread (ATS) when favored by small margins of +1 to +3 points from 2014-2024. This translates to a 44.7% ATS win rate over 38 total games in this situation.

Is betting on the Philadelphia 76ers as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?

No, betting on the Philadelphia 76ers as small underdogs (+1 to +3) has not been profitable, showing a negative ROI of -12.3%. With only 17 wins against 20 losses ATS, bettors would have lost money consistently over this 10-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

The 76ers' 44.7% ATS win rate as small underdogs significantly underperforms the typical league expectation of around 50% for ATS betting. Their -12.3% ROI indicates substantially worse performance than average teams in similar underdog situations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.