Philadelphia 76ers Large Favorite (-7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Philadelphia 76ers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large favorite (-7.5+), the Philadelphia 76ers are just 34-51-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -23.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +23.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2015 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2016 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2017 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2018 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2019 | 5-8-0 | 0.0% | -26.6% |
| 2020 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2021 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2023 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2024 | 5-6-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The 76ers' struggles as large favorites stem from their historical inconsistency and tendency to play down to competition. Philadelphia has long been a franchise prone to emotional swings, often lacking the killer instinct needed to blow out inferior opponents. When laying significant points, the team frequently relaxes after building early leads, allowing backdoor covers that devastate bettors who backed them. The franchise's reliance on star players like Joel Embiid creates another layer of vulnerability. When Philadelphia is heavily favored, opposing teams often employ physical, grinding strategies designed to wear down their key contributors. This approach not only slows the game's pace but forces the 76ers into uncomfortable half-court battles where their talent advantage becomes less pronounced. Load management considerations also come into play, as the team may rest key players or reduce their minutes when games appear decided early. Philadelphia's coaching changes over the years have contributed to this trend, with different systems struggling to maintain focus against weaker competition. The team's defensive intensity often wanes when they perceive an easy victory, leading to late-game collapses that turn covers into losses. This trend carries the most weight when the 76ers face teams with nothing to lose late in the season or during back-to-back situations where motivation becomes questionable.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Philadelphia 76ers's ATS record as large favorite (-7.5+)?
The Philadelphia 76ers have a 34-51-0 ATS record when favored by 7.5+ points from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 40% of these games. This represents 85 total games as large favorites over the 10-year period.
Is betting on the Philadelphia 76ers as large favorite (-7.5+) profitable?
No, betting on the Philadelphia 76ers as large favorites has been unprofitable with a -23.6% ROI from 2014-2024. This poor return means bettors would have lost nearly a quarter of their investment backing the 76ers in these spots.
How does this compare to the league average?
The 76ers' 40% ATS win rate as large favorites is significantly below the typical league average of around 50% for all ATS bets. Their -23.6% ROI also substantially underperforms compared to expected break-even betting results.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.