The Orlando Magic show mixed results as small underdog (+1 to +3). Since 2014, they're 17-16-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -1.6%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record17-16-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size33 games
ROI-1.6%
Units Won-0.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-2-00.0%-36.4%
20151-0-00.0%+90.9%
20165-2-00.0%+36.4%
20171-0-00.0%+90.9%
20181-0-00.0%+90.9%
20192-3-00.0%-23.6%
20200-2-00.0%-100.0%
20211-3-00.0%-52.3%
20221-2-00.0%-36.4%
20233-1-00.0%+43.2%
20241-1-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Magic's neutral performance as small underdogs reflects their identity as a team that consistently competes but lacks the star power to consistently exceed expectations in tight contests. When facing spreads of just 1-3 points, Orlando typically finds itself in games against similarly-talented opponents where their defensive-minded approach and young core can keep things competitive without necessarily securing covers. Orlando's coaching philosophy under recent regimes has emphasized defensive intensity and structured offense, which creates a floor for their performances but also a ceiling. In small underdog spots, this translates to games that often play out close to the spread rather than providing significant value either way. The team's reliance on effort-based basketball rather than elite talent means they're prone to inconsistent offensive stretches that can swing close games either direction. The Magic's developmental focus with younger players also creates unpredictability in these marginal spots, as inexperience can lead to late-game execution issues that prevent covers even when they're competitive throughout. This trend matters most when Orlando faces division rivals or teams with similar talent levels, where familiarity and competitive balance make the small spread particularly accurate rather than exploitable.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Orlando Magic's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?

The Orlando Magic has a 17-16-0 ATS record as small underdogs (+1 to +3) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 51.5% cover rate in these situations.

Is betting on the Orlando Magic as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?

No, betting on the Orlando Magic as small underdogs (+1 to +3) is not profitable with a -1.6% ROI. Despite covering slightly more than half their games, the negative return indicates poor betting value.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Magic's 51.5% ATS rate as small underdogs is slightly above the expected 50% baseline. However, the -1.6% ROI suggests they consistently fail to exceed market expectations by enough to overcome the betting juice.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.