Orlando Magic Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Orlando Magic in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Orlando Magic hold a record of 34-22-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +15.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $9 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2015 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2016 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2017 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2020 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2021 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2023 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2024 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Magic's exceptional performance as home underdogs following wins stems from a psychological dynamic that perfectly suits their young, developing roster. When this team enters games with momentum from a recent victory but still catches disrespect from oddsmakers, they respond with the kind of scrappy, energetic play that has defined successful Magic teams throughout franchise history. The home crowd at Amway Center feeds off this underdog energy, creating an atmosphere where role players elevate their games and the team plays with nothing-to-lose mentality. Orlando's roster construction amplifies this trend. Their young core thrives on proving doubters wrong, and the combination of recent success with continued betting market skepticism creates ideal conditions for outperforming expectations. The Magic have historically been a team that plays up or down to competition level, and when they're riding confidence from a win while still getting points at home, they often channel that energy into covering spreads against superior opponents. The actionable insight here is clear: back Orlando when they're home underdogs coming off wins, particularly against teams they matchup well with defensively. This trend holds most value early in seasons when the betting market hasn't fully adjusted to the Magic's improved play, or during stretches when they're exceeding preseason expectations but still getting undervalued by oddsmakers.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Orlando Magic's ATS record as home underdog after a win?
The Orlando Magic has a 34-22-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 60.7% ATS win rate over 56 games.
Is betting on the Orlando Magic as home underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Orlando Magic as home underdogs after a win has been profitable with a 15.9% ROI. Despite the 0.0% straight-up win rate, they consistently cover the spread in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 60.7% ATS rate significantly outperforms the typical 50% league average for ATS betting. The Magic's strong ATS performance in this specific situation represents excellent value for bettors.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.